Lions Gate Entertainment's (NYSE: LGF) stock rose nearly 5% in after-hours trading on Friday after the movie studio issued its Q1 report. In fact, the stock hit $11 per share. What drove this reaction? Well, Wall Street was figuring on a loss for the company, somewhere around $0.05 per share, according to the AP. However, management fooled everyone by delivering a $0.06 per-share profit. Last year's Q1 saw a net loss of $0.45 per share. The top line was also awesome, rising 50% to $298.5 million. This also went beyond expectations.
These numbers are impressive to a certain extent. Management reported a nice backlog of revenues derived from movie projects that should be recognized in later quarters. There was a lower amount of expensed-costs related to distribution, an element that helped things out a great deal.
Cash flow, however, was an entirely different matter altogether. Lions Gate reported a much wider use of the green stuff this quarter. In fact, the metric more than doubled to nearly $150 million. Changes in working capital affected the cash flow, including increased investments in content productions and a larger booking of participations and residuals. Negative free cash flow also expanded, coming in at roughly $110 million this quarter versus $82 million one year ago.
The movie business is all about timing and production budgets, of course. The investments made today will hopefully yield fruit down the line. Lions Gate has shown itself to be a competent generator and distributor of movie brands. Driving this quarter were titles such as Saw IV, Weeds, Mad Men, Rambo, and Meet the Browns. Lions Gate knows how to make money from a library, and it knows how to strike platform partnerships with Hollywood. The studio is involved with Sony (NYSE: SNE) and Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA) in a VOD/Internet channel dedicated to horror known as FEARNet. Also, Lions Gate has hooked up with Viacom (NYSE: VIA), Paramount, and MGM on a new premium channel. Recently, a distribution agreement was struck with Disney (NYSE: DIS) as a way of expanding Lions Gate's TV-on-DVD depth.
Investors who want to play around with Lions Gate's stock must remember that every quarter won't be like this due to timing of expensed costs. And in terms of cash flow, they must be prepared to see uses of cash depending on investment schedules. According to the AOL Finance snapshot, the stock hasn't done too badly this year. In fact, it's done a lot better than I thought it would, quite frankly. I would not, however, be interested in chasing this stock if it rises on Monday. Without a doubt, this is one that needs a pullback, preferably well below $10 a share. As I said the last time, Lions Gate is certainly a speculative stock in the sense that it really is a play on a belief that the studio will eventually be a takeover target. Otherwise, it's been mostly a trading vehicle. So, like I say, I personally would wait for a good pullback before allocating some of your investment funds to the movie business. Lions Gate is an interesting, fun stock, but it will always be risky.
Disclosure: I own shares of Disney; positions can change at any time.










