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BWAY Holding Company (BWY): Shares define bullish 'pennant' consolidation pattern

BWAY Holding Company (NYSE: BWY), headquartered in Atlanta, is a leading North American manufacturer and distributor of metal and rigid plastic containers for the industrial and consumer products markets. The Metal Packaging segment specializes in steel paint cans, aerosol cans, pails and ammunition boxes. The Plastics Packaging unit provides injection-molded and blow-molded bottles and drums for petroleum products, agricultural chemicals, paints, inks, edible oils, adhesives and sealants. The ICL Industrial Containers division is Canada's leading supplier of plastic and steel pails. Ball Corporation (NYSE: BLL) and Crown Holdings (NYSE: CCK) are major competitors.

The firm surprised the Street last week, when it reported fiscal Q3 EPS of 41 cents and revenues of $274 million. Analysts had been looking for 28 cents and $271.6 million. In discussing the successful quarter, the CEO noted increased productivity, better cost containment and the effects of new products. Management also guided FY08 EPS to 70-75 cents, versus Street consensus of 53 cents.

The BWY price popped on the news and then moved into a bullish "pennant" consolidation pattern. Stocks frequently exit pennants moving in the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that would be to the upside.

Brokers recommend the issue with two "buys" and two "holds". Analysts see a 25% average annual growth rate, through the next five years. The BWY Price to Sales ratio (0.26), Price to Book ratio (1.55), Price to Cash Flow ratio (5.20), Price to Free Cash Flow ratio (10.36) and EPS Growth rate (51.86%) compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutional investors hold about 41% of the outstanding shares. Over the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between $7.22 and $12.22. A stop-loss of $10.45 looks good here.

Larry Schutts is a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com and the Vice-President of Stockwinners.com. He does not hold positions in any of the stocks mentioned above.

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Last updated: December 02, 2008: 02:28 AM

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