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Bloated MSFT, sluggish YHOO & confused AOL need a new diet

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My very first post on bloggingstocks was Microsoft: What are you thinking about? where I ranted that Microsoft Inc. (NASDAQ: MSFT) stock was going nowhere. Over the last 29, months that is exactly what it has done. It closed yesterday at $27.62.

This is not to say it has not had it's moments rising at one time to a 52-week high of $37.50 on a lot of hopes and prayers. Nevertheless, I felt then and do now that MSFT would be better off in pieces Micro'soft' vs Micro'hard' -- Break it up fellas!

If Microsoft wants to compete against Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) and be a dominant player on the web, it should split out its web services as a separate company. That new company would be the right merger partner for Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO). There is no reason to tie the web services business to the future of the Zune (if it has one) or the XBOX entertainment game player and other equally unrelated business.


Many in the business world have expressed similar thoughts. And those sentiments have extended to AOL which is clogging up the works at Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) and would be worth far more on its own.

In reviewing one of my early comments about Yahoo I wrote:

  • YHOO: No. By any metric you choose P/E, P/S, Price to book value, price to cash flow its expensive, ROIC stinks --there is none, and no dividend. Positive notes: almost no debt, ROE is good. Profit margins are great and might be sustainable. But this is another guessing game. Soooo what about YAHOO - anybody home?

Sometimes the difficulty is not so much defining your goals but negotiating the treacherous path to get there. In the case of management at MSFT, YHOO, and AOL they may see the benefits that others see in breaking out in a new form, slashing overlapping departments and getting under performing ones off the books but they cannot make the compromises necessary about valuation to make it happen. It might be big egos, or just inertia but the best they seem to be able to muster is a tweeking of the system with what seems like dubious results in the case of all three.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. DISCLOSURE: I own shares of TWX.

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Last updated: July 04, 2009: 02:50 PM

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