Mortgage fraud up 42% year-over-year?

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The Wall Street Journal reports (subscription required) that incidents of mortgage fraud rose 42% year over year, based on loans originated in the first quarter that have since been declared fraudulent. The Journal cites data from Mortgage Asset Research Institute.

That number is appalling, and it's hard to know what to make of it. There are two possibilities, as far as I can tell. Either:
  • The tightening of the credit markets and the newfound conservatism of lenders is a myth, and fraudulent loans are being originated at a more rapid rate than ever before, with crooked consumers and mortgage salesmen thwarting the system even as national headlines warn about the huge problems caused by sloppy lending and mortgage fraud. Or
  • The 42% jump is more a result of lenders actually doing the research to classify loans as fraudulent. Back when everything was going well, less energy might have been devoted to this.
It seems likely that the answer is some combination of the two. But based on this data, it's hard to conclude that lenders have cleaned up their act and stamped out bad loans. That doesn't bode well for the futures of the industry.

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Last updated: February 10, 2010: 05:44 AM

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