Esterline Technologies (ESL): Shares cycle in bullish 'flag'


Esterline Technologies (NYSE: ESL) is engaged in the design, manufacture, and marketing of engineered products and systems for applications in the aerospace and defense industries. The Avionics & Controls unit makes communications systems, medical equipment, and interface systems for aircraft and military vehicles. The Sensors & Systems operation manufactures temperature and pressure sensors, as well as fluid and motion control products. The Advanced Materials segment makes elastomer products, combustible ammunition components and electronic warfare countermeasures. Boeing (NYSE: BA) is a major customer. Eaton Corporation (NYSE: ETN) is a competitor.

The company surprised investors last week, when it reported Q3 EPS of 68 cents and revenues of $382.1 million. The Street had been expecting 64 cents and $374.6 million. Backlog at the end of the quarter was up 11.1% (yr/yr) to $1.06 billion. The CEO attributed success to robust aftermarket activity in both the commercial aerospace and defense markets. Management also guided FY08 EPS to $3.50-$3.60, versus consensus of $3.58.

The ESL share price popped on the news and then moved into a bullish "flag" consolidation pattern. Stocks frequently exit flags moving in the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that would be to the upside.

Brokers recommend the issue with three "strong buys", three "buys" and four "holds". Analysts expect a 26% average annual growth rate, through the next five years. The ESL P/E ratio (12.35), PEG ratio (0.62), Price to Sales ratio (1.05), Price to Book ratio (1.30), Price to Cash Flow ratio (8.40), Price to Free Cash Flow ratio (17.47) and Sales Growth rate (17.07%) compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages. The stock is one of those used to calculate the S&P 600 SmallCap Index. Over the past 52 weeks, it has traded between $42.68 and $62.90. A stop-loss of $49.00 looks good here.

Larry Schutts is a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com and the Vice-President of Stockwinners.com. He does not hold positions in any of the stocks mentioned above.

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Last updated: February 10, 2012: 01:36 PM

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