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27,000 Boeing workers to strike Saturday morning

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At 3 a.m. Eastern Time tomorrow, 27,000 members of Boeing International Association of Machinists (IAM) will strike Boeing Inc. (NYSE: BA) according to Bloomberg News. As I posted this morning, IAM member anger is so deep that I was not surprised to learn that the federal mediator called in to find a solution could not avert a strike. The cost to Boeing is estimated to total $100 million a day -- reducing its earnings per share (EPS) by a penny a day.

IAM's website said, "Despite meeting late into the night and throughout the day, continued contract talks with the Boeing company did not address our issues," according to Bloomberg. And it quotes a Boeing spokesperson as saying, "We worked hard with the union and mediator. We pursued different options, but in the end we were too far apart to reach an agreement. We're open for further discussion but no talks are scheduled."

No details have emerged about whether Boeing changed the terms of its proposed contract. However, it appears likely that given the six points of disagreement about which I posted this morning, this strike could last a long time. Bloomberg quotes one Wall Street analyst who calculates that "a month-long strike would shave 31 cents a share off Boeing's EPS and cost $2.8 billion in lost revenue."

I don't know how much a month on strike would cost IAM members. But it looks this strike will be painful for both sides.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. Portfolio will publish his book about Boeing, You Can't Order Change: Lessons from Jim McNerney's Turnaround at Boeing, in December 2008. He has no financial interest in Boeing securities.

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 12:12 PM

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