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Time may be on Boeing's side after Pentagon delays tanker contest

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In business, as in international relations, there are battles you fight and battles you don't fight.

It looks like Boeing's decision earlier this year to protest the U.S. Department of Defense's award of an aerial refueling tanker contract constituted a savvy corporate tactic. Government auditors first ordered a rerun of the competition, and then today U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates delayed the $35 billion award contest, saying there isn't enough time to complete the contest fairly, by the end of the Bush Administration, the Pentagon announced.

"Over the past seven years the process has become enormously complex and emotional -- in no small part because of mistakes and missteps along the way by the Department of Defense," Secretary Gates said in a statement. "It is my judgment that in the time remaining to us, we can no longer complete a competition that would be viewed as fair and objective in this highly charged environment."

Gates added that the 'cooling off' period will allow the next administration to objectively review the military requirements and craft a new acquisition strategy for the refueling tanker.


Boeing: more time to refine new bid

Stock Analyst C. Leonard Bauer said the above is a downside / upside decision for Boeing (NYSE: BA), but he's emphasizing the latter.

"At the outset, the initial reaction among investors probably will be negative, because some had hoped for a Boeing contract win in the revised bidding round by January," Bauer said. "But the upside is, Boeing will now have more time to hone its aerial refueling tanker design and bid, which should make Boeing's bid that much stronger. In that sense, time is on Boeing's side." Bauer added that he does not have a rating on or own shares in Boeing or any defense contractor.

Boeing's shares closed down $2.31 to $61.71, dropping 3.6% Wednesday. However, it should be noted that the tanker contest was not the only issue affecting Boeing's shares. A key machinists union remains on strike at Boeing, idling 27,000 machinists and most manufacturing work on jetliners.

The European Union-based European Aeronautic Defense & Space company (FR: EADS) and Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) won the first tanker contract February 29, but on June 19 auditors from the U.S. Governmental Accountability Office upheld Boeing's protest, saying the U.S. Air Force made significant errors in awarding the contract, Bloomberg News reported.

Bauer said he expects Boeing to win the new refueling tanker competition. "Both sides now have an opportunity to revise designs. Boeing will have an opportunity to increase its tanker's fuel capacity, which had a 205,000 pound fuel capacity, 45,000 pounds less than EADS' tanker," Bauer said. "I expect Boeing to close that gap with its new bid in 2009."

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Last updated: November 12, 2009: 12:38 PM

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