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The George W. Bush economic plan?

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This is my 800th post, so I thought I would have to mark the occasion with something very serious, and R. P. Overmyer once again supplied the kindling for my fire.

Many comments we receive ask why George W. Bush should be blamed for the dire state of the economy; that the President is just one more victim of circumstance. Others think the legislature should take the blame, or that it's a Democratic vs. Republican dilemma.

As I have tried to do in each of my posts that stray into politics, I will try my best to focus on the financial issues. If anyone cares, I tend to vote independent of party affiliation and tend to follow a moderate path. Interestingly each party tries to paint the other as more extremist in an attempt to get my vote.

The easy things first; the Republicans controlled the executive and legislative branches of government for the majority of GWB's term. It is true that the Democrats were less than cooperative these last 20 months and all too eager to watch Bush boil in his own stew, but for half that time everyone has been cooperating to make sure the financial markets do not collapse. All the blame should not fall on Bush or the Republicans, but I think it is not a hard case to make that the leadership and opportunity was theirs this go round and they screwed up -- he screwed up!

If I was to summarize my perception of the Bush economic plan, I would say it came down to this: Cut taxes as much as the population will tolerate and sit back and watch the wonders of capitalism blossom with more money in the hands of those that already have it, because they are best suited to deploy it most efficiently.

After that I think Bush sat back and watched. He is still only watching. He has had little to say about the crushing financial markets or crushed housing market or anything else. If he has done anything more I would love to hear about it. He has left the mess to others hopefully wiser than he, and in hindsight, that seems to be just about everyone, sort of...

Two clear results of the tax breaks and little economic policy have been record deficits and extreme leverage in the banking system. Bush is not to blame for the ratings agencies putting Triple A ratings on garbage, but he is to blame for creating an "anything goes" atmosphere in the financial markets that supported this behavior.

My pal Warren -- remember him? Chairman of Triple A rated (for real) Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A and BRK.B) long ago explicitly pointed out to the world that the derivative financial securities being created and promoted by the investment banks to the world were the true "weapons of mass destruction". He has written in his annual letters to shareholders and discussed in interviews and speeches for as long as I can remember the severely damaging impact of deficit spending and that the tax cuts implemented by the Bush administration would exacerbate the situation. Guess what: he was right on both counts.

Nobody has created as much wealth for himself or his fellow investors as Buffett and investors might once again take a look at Chasing Value: Considering Berkshire Hathaway... again. In any event, as one of his fans it always is bewildering to me that politicians and financial wizards alike seem to ignore his advice or heed his warnings.

If the presidency was a sports team, we would have bought out his contract a long time ago. Now we just wait for it to expire so that he can do the lecture circuit as a free agent.

When I look at the fact that we are in the poorest financial shape we have been in since the Great Depression, I can't help but think that all the deficit spending that we speak about burdening our grandchildren may have arrived early, maybe it really is pay as you go and now we are paying sooner than we thought.

By the way, it probably is no big shocker that Berkshire Hathaway is up this morning while the rest of the market is down. I can't wait for the Q3 report to find out what Buffett bought at fire sale prices.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. DISCLOSURE: I currently own shares of BRK.B.

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Last updated: November 24, 2009: 04:27 AM

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