General Electric Company (NYSE: GE) will miss its earnings forecast by 6%. GE now estimates that its third quarter profits will range between "43 cents to 48 cents a share, less than its previous forecast of 50 cents to 54 cents." GE cited "difficult conditions in the financial services markets" for its decision to stop its stock buyback program.
The good news -- if it can be compared -- is that this latest downward guidance would be less in percentage terms than its first quarter earnings miss of 14%. That was when GE reported 44 cents a share, compared with the 51 cents that analysts had expected. That unpleasant surprise spurred former CEO Jack Welch into a homicidal rage. With its stock trading 58% below its all time high of $58.50 back in September 2000 and down 41% from the $41 it traded at when Jeffrey Immelt took over as CEO, I am beginning to wonder how close GE is to going the way of Lehman Brothers.
The thing about GE is that it gets 40% of its pretax profit from financial services. But it also sells stuff like jet engines, power plants, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) machines and TV advertising. Unfortunately, many of these big-ticket items depend on healthy growth in infrastructure spending by countries like China, India and Middle Eastern oil producers.
GE stock is down 4.4% in pre-market.
Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter
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