Lack of faith in bailout? Will Wachovia (WB) disappear?


It appears that Wachovia (NYSE: WB) will be bought out by Citigroup (NYSE: C) or Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC). If a large American bank cannot be helped by the Treasury bail-out, which will probably be approved by Congress this week. what does it say about the bailout's scope?

According to The New York Times, "Wachovia, like WaMu, has been hobbled by bad mortgages, making a merger more urgent and prompting federal regulators to push for a quick sale."

Why can't Wachovia hang on and sell bad assets to the Treasury? Shouldn't that take the bank out of harm's way? Since the federal government is encouraging the sale, the answer must be that there is fear that the extremely broad $700 billion package has severe limits in terms of which companies it can help and which companies it cannot. Investor confidence in the plan may be so compromised that depositors and other customers are pulling capital out of Wachovia at an alarming rate.

Without a buy-out, Wachovia may fail. The Fed is clearly unwilling to put in capital to back the banks assets. Shareholders who bought Wachovia near its 52-week high of $52.25 will probably get little more than the $10 where the bank's shares trade now. Once again, assets from a big bank may find a home, but shareholders will not.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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