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Rescue package: Oil change for U.S. economy; next up: tune-up

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Metaphors sometimes oversimplify, but think of the U.S. Congress' 2008 bailout bill (pdf) as a long-overdue oil change for the U.S. economy.

Still, as any driver knows, an oil change is not enough to keep a car running well. You need to have it tuned, and keep all of its engine, transmission and related systems maintained for the car to perform safely. So next up for the U.S. economy: a tuneup.

But regarding the rescue, if it goes reasonably according to plan, the U.S. Treasury, and the companion agencies the rescue creates, will slowly remove distressed / bad assets from the financial system, and in the process both stabilize the credit markets, and equally important, restore confidence in the financial system.

Of course, there's no guarantee the rescue will work as intended, but there was near unanimous agreement in economic and investment circles about what would happen without it: a freezing-up of the credit markets, contagion in stock and bond markets, panic, and a substantial reduction in the ability of companies small and large to function. In short, the worst financial panic since the stock market crash of 1929 that led to the Great Depression.


After the rescue package is in place, congressional leaders will get to work on institutional reforms needed to update both regulations and their guiding institutions so that this doesn't happen again. In the weeks and months ahead, all will be reviewed in this space after Congress fleshes-out the details of the rescue package. For now, see BloggingStocks' Peter Cohan's post for a look at several prudent reforms the U.S. Government should pass when the new Congress begins lengthy, regulatory review work in January 2009.

And about that tune-up: However, it's important to remember that the rescue package does not correct the problems currently ailing the U.S. economy. The rescue simply ensures that commerce will continue, i.e. that there's a system remaining to reform.

The U.S. economy's structural problems remain. Quite simply, those problems must be corrected or the next crisis will mark the end of corporate capitalism in the United States.

Economic Analysis: A U.S. House of Representatives vote on the rescue package will likely occur Monday. The U.S. Congress will then break for Rosh Hashanah -- the Jewish New Year and a high holy day in Judaism -- then reconvene Wednesday, at which time the U.S. Senate will begin debate on the rescue package.

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Last updated: July 06, 2009: 08:09 AM

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