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Pearlstein: Lack of rescue package threatens global financial system

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Washington Post business columnist Steven Pearlstein does not mince words: too many people just don't get it.

Moreover, yours truly is not one to alarm, and typically views 'sweeping and dramatic statements' with a journalist's skepticism and a scholar's critical review.

But when the best economists you talk to, and business executives, and others in financial and investment circles, start reaching the same conclusion, from decidedly different vantage points, the dramatic statement begins to take on more weight, becoming more compelling.

'The reality of the facts on the ground'

Further, as Pearlstein incisively points out, there are reasons why a considerable portion of the American people are not 'getting it' regarding how serious the current situation is. Politicians are more concerned about ideology, partisan posturing, and teaching people a lesson -- if you can believe that they could be so irresponsible (my astonishment added, not Pearlstein's). Financiers have been very slow to admit to greed, arrogance, and incompetence. And foreign government leaders still view the financial crisis as 'an American problem.'

But none of the above changes what Pearlstein, and what my closest economist colleagues (David H. Wang, Richard Felson, Peter Dawson, M. Chandler, and Glen Langan) all argue is "the reality of the facts on the ground," to borrow a phrase from Israel's former Prime Minister and Defense Minister Ariel Sharon. Namely, that a massive, global deleveraging is taking place, and that absent a systemic rescue/intervention by the U.S. Government, in conjunction with interventions by other governments around the world, the world risks the bursting of a credit bubble that threatens to bring down the global financial system.


What's one macroeconomic consequence? A decade or more of little or no U.S. economic growth, Pearlstein argues, and the aforementioned economists agree.

What's one practical impact on a small business owner in Indiana, or Florida, or Virginia, or Nevada? No loans to expand your business from your local bank. Or the end of your existing line of credit, upon repayment. Ditto for students loans, car loans, and of course mortgages, perhaps even for the most credit-worthy. Your town or county wants to borrow money to build those two public elementary schools the community needs? Sorry, banks aren't lending to each other, so they won't come close to lending to your community.

All of which suggests the news would not be good, either, regarding corporate earnings and employment levels.

Economic Analysis: Columnist Pearlstein argues that the intervention must be government-based, international, large, sustained, and both systematic and extraordinary. And that's the view from here, as well.

More than $1.2 trillion in market value was wiped out in Monday's stock market drop. How many more trillion dollars in market value in retirement savings, investments, company value, and in homes-that-should-not-have-gone-into-foreclosure does the nation want to see wiped out before the nation decides to invest up to $700 billion, most or possibly all of which will be repaid?

What's needed now is political leadership. If we get it we can prevent this financial crisis from turning into a financial calamity.

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 01:33 AM

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