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Cramer on BloggingStocks: Bailout's passage no longer matters

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TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says too much time has passed, too many institutions are out of cash.

When we say "too big to fail," what we mean is an entity that has so many tentacles in so many parts of the economic superstructure that if it failed, the consequences would be too grave for the system itself.

With the demise of Lehman, we at last see what it is like to have something too big to fail, fail. That's why you can see every insurer go down in the beat of an eyelash, or every broker roll over with lightning speed. It is how you could see commercial paper lines frozen and how you could expect money funds to crater and break the buck.

Lehman was twice as big as Bear and much more far-reaching. It was the other side of the trade, we are discovering, for myriad financial players. Its paper pervaded the system and was seemingly owned like U.S. government paper was. It was levered against and it was priceless collateral that is, well, priceless collateral. It did things with your margin account to gain you a return that reduced your cash to unsecured status.

In short, Lehman may bring down the Western financial world. That's right, it might. Almost everything you are seeing since Lehman's demise can be traced directly or indirectly to Lehman.


Thursday's run on the insurers like MetLife (NYSE: MET) (Cramer's Take) and Hartford Financial (NYSE: HIG) (Cramer's Take) and Prudential Financial (NYSE: PRU) (Cramer's Take) may have come about because a reckless senator said an insurance company may go bankrupt. Thanks, Harry Reid!

But the reason it had such impact is because people started thinking, "How could my annuity be so guaranteed against market losses? Who took the other side of that? How can I necessarily be sure that my death benefit money for my wife and kids is necessarily there? Will my health insurance pay off?"

These are now imaginable questions post-Lehman because Lehman hedged so many companies' exposures and was considered an expert at laying out bond risk.

Of course, all of this was caused by a risk culture that was out of control. But it would not have gotten so desperate if it weren't for -- you guessed it -- house price depreciation.

There was a time that this mortgage bailout bill would have mattered, pre-Lehman, when Lehman could have been made whole by it.

But too much time has passed. Too many institutions are now out of cash, too many discovering the hole Lehman put them in.

So, alas, it doesn't much matter anymore. I figure the bill will save JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) (Cramer's Take), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) (Cramer's Take), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) (Cramer's Take), U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB) (Cramer's Take) and Citigroup (NYSE: C) (Cramer's Take). And everyone else in finance will be fodder for the shorts, panicked longs, the ratings agencies and ultimately the morgue if things don't stabilize soon.

Big if.

Remember, though, it is just finance. Companies that can self-finance, companies that do not need financing to put out their products, are about to take over the rest of the world.

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RELATED LINKS:
Bailout Vote in House Expected to Be Tight
Cramer: My Talk With McCain
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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. At the time of publication, Cramer was long JPMorgan Chase.

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Last updated: November 14, 2009: 01:25 PM

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