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An American depression

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Most of what the public hears from the government and from the media indicates that the economy is sliding into a recession, perhaps a deep one. Consumers is not buying that at all. They see the world in much more dire shape.

According to the CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll, "Nearly six out of ten Americans believe another economic depression is likely." And those surveyed know what a depression is. They understand that it would mean a 25% unemployment rate, bank failures and an increasing number of homeless Americans.

Most economist asked to respond to the results said that no depression is likely. They government's current programs to buttress the economy are too widespread. Unemployment might hit 7% or a bit more, but that would be it.

Of course, many economists were slow in calling the recession, so their track records as forecasters are in doubt.

What stands out from the survey is the extent to which Americans have succumbed to a feeling of despair and hopelessness. To be resigned to the near-complete death of the economy and almost unimaginable national suffering gives every indication of people being certain that the worst is coming and believing it is a near-certainty.

The depression may not come to the economy, but it has certainly come to the minds of the average working person.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Last updated: July 06, 2009: 10:49 AM

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