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Short-term interest rates dip on U.S., Europe liquidity actions, bank rescues

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Thus far, credit conditions remain a cold as Rutland, Vermont on a January night, but there are hints of a thaw in the making.

Interest rates for three-month loans in dollars dipped Monday, after policy makers in the United States and Europe offered unlimited dollar funds and Europe governments took actions to recapitalize and bolster banks.

The London three-month rate decreased 7 basis points to 4.75%, Bloomberg News reported Monday. Also, the euro interbank offered rate, or Euribor, for one-week loans dropped 26 basis points to 4.37%.

Short-term rates, including overnight rates, are key sources of cash for corporations and other large institutions, which use the cash to pay suppliers, make payroll, roll over debt etc. Hence, very high overnight and short-term rates will discourage corporations from conducting business, restricting commerce and slowing the economy, economists say.

Actions seen lowering banks' anxiety

Economist Peter Dawson told BloggingStocks Monday the actions taken this weekend and Monday by industrialized nations and their respective central banks will help loosen credit markets and decrease anxiety that's tightened the flow of money, globally.

"Central bank actions to supply dollars will help re-liquify the markets. I can't say if this one action will stop the pack-rat-like hoarding of dollars, but eventually players in the system are going to realize that no matter how many dollars they hoard, central banks have more to add," Dawson said. "Regarding fiscal policy, the guarantees by governments to banks will help reduce bank-to-bank fear that banks they lend to are insolvent, which should inch us back toward more-typical bank-to-bank lending."


Another policy that will help beef-up balance sheets/recapitalize financial institutions: the U.S. Treasury's ordering Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) to buy a minimum of $40 billion per month in subprime, Alt-A, and related high-risk mortgage backed securities, Dawson said. "That begins the process of getting these toxic assets out of the system, and it does it quicker than the U.S. Treasury's proposed reverse auction, which probably won't be used now."

However, Dawson could offer no timetable for a resumption of normal credit flows. "Normal is place that's far away. Right now, let's just concentrate on getting short-term interest rates to drop and seeing if banks begin to extend credit to one another," Dawson said.

Monetary Policy/Economic Analysis: The major industrialized nations are now engaged in an 'all fronts' approach versus the credit crunch: adding dollars to the global money supply, recapitalizing banks though investments, and ridding the system of toxic assets. Further, this weekend's summit in Washington at the International Monetary Fund's annual meeting demonstrated that the United Kingdom was ahead of its fellow, major nations in offering both bank recapitalization and interbank loan guarantees. Kudos to Her Majesty's Government for leading the way.
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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 02:24 PM

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