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Cramer on BloggingStocks: Staying on your feet is a full-time job

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TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says this market is whipping around so fast that just keeping up is a challenge.

Editor's note: Jim Cramer will present his 2009 stock outlook for the first time at TheStreet.com Investment Conference on Saturday, Oct. 25. Limited seating; act now.

How hard is it? Do you know I wrote a piece at 2:45 yesterday afternoon, all set to talk about how the resilience of the market just spooks me given we didn't know Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) (Cramer's Take) and we had the oils up with the oil futures? We were shrugging off Latin America, which was basically crushed off of Argentina's confiscation. There was nothing going right and yet the futures wouldn't quit.

I then met with my staff at CNBC and chatted with David Faber, a good friend of mine, about what's going on behind the scenes with the credit market.

I put the market on hold and focused on him and on my questions for Nucor (NYSE: NUE) (Cramer's Take). And in 30 minutes the piece was worthless.


Today I come in and the futures are down, there is no demand for oil, a farm equipment article is a disaster in The Wall Street Journal and I know that Latin America was holding up ag, but that could be perilous now that Argentina has gone Allende on us, and the commodity trade has just gone totally south.

But tech, which wrecked us, could get total new life from Apple, which really was good, except iPhone was bad, which then again means that the wireless plays, endlessly beaten down, get beaten down again today.

To which I say, OK, with us still minus-8 on the Oscillator, that persistent bid will be there and the banks are still getting a ton of money in them.

In other words, another day where conviction melts from the get-go.

The only thing that is working, the only thing, is dividends. Which means watch Chevron (NYSE: CVX) (Cramer's Take). Whenever that yield gets to 4 and change, the stock bounces.

Oh, and needless to say, you never saw that piece. It's dead. A relic, a reminder that this remains the most treacherous market I have ever seen. I know that the Nazz 2000-2003 scenario seems to be lurking, but as Helene says, that April of 2000 really made you feel the worst was over.

Just like yesterday after the big 400 day, where the pattern of little or no follow-through at last seemed broken.

Random musings: Apple's tough; it certainly has the capability of being up 10, even in a bad tape, especially because it is now the lone tech stock that stands out, so will be a magnet for money.

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RELATED LINKS:
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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. At the time of publication, Cramer was long Chevron.

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Symbol Lookup
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DJIA-223.328,280.74
NASDAQ-49.201,796.52
S&P 500-26.91896.42

Last updated: July 05, 2009: 04:32 PM

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