Mortgage applications drop to eight year low


More bad news on the struggling housing market today, as the Mortgage Bankers Association announced that last week mortgage applications dropped to an eight year low. This is another sign that people are not ready to jump back into the housing market just yet.

As we all know, home prices have been falling steadily over the past year, and we are all waiting to see the point where buyers decide that the price is right to jump back into the market. So far, that is just not happening. According to today's report, mortgage volume was 44% lower last week than the same period last year.

Refinancing applications were down 23.5% last week, and more importantly, mortgage applications to purchase new homes fell 10.9% from the previous week. The last time weekly volume was this low was all the way back in December 2000.

For now, its hard to see any light at the end of the tunnel. Tough times are expected to continue at least for the foreseeable future. Last night, the Mortgage Bankers Association predicted that the market will continue to slow through the end of this year, and at least through the first half of 2009.

For a better idea of just how slow the housing market has gotten, compare mortgage productions for the past two years and estimates on what we can expect to see next year:

  • 2007 = $2.3 trillion
  • 2008 = $1.86 trillion (expected)
  • 2009 = $1.67 trillion (expected)
Definitely more tough times ahead. What are your thoughts on the situation? Have recent drops in home prices been enough to stir up your interest in the housing market, or are you continuing to sit on the sidelines and wait for prices to continue to fall before considering buying a new home?

Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last four years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer.

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