Ben Bernanke lacks a strategy to deal with the financial crisis. He just keeps dropping more and more money from his helicopter and hopes it will jump start the economic system. The futures market has already baked in a 50 basis point interest rate cut for this coming Wednesday so with the Dow having lost 312 points last Friday, it would probably collapse even further if Bernanke backed off the rate cut.
But what is the point of this cut? 30-year fixed mortgage rates are higher now (6.47%) than they were in August 2007 (6.45%) when the Fed began cutting the Fed Funds rate from 5.25% to what would end up being 1% if the Fed indeed cuts by 50 basis points on Wednesday. Paul Krugman argues that the high mortgage rates may be a result of U.S. policy not to put its "full faith and credit" behind Fannie and Freddie debt -- thereby increasing its risk. If the Fed was trying to loosen up credit, these numbers suggest its rate cuts are not doing the job.
And While there are some who anticipate it will cut only 25 basis points, I am not sure why the Fed thinks this rate cut will do anything more than use up precious ammunition that might be more useful in an even more severe financial emergency. At 1%, there is not much further to cut. And with the November election fast approaching, it is clear that a real strategy to analyze and fix the myriad financial problems Bush leaves his successor will not happen until January.
If he really wanted to do something to help his legacy and the long-suffering American citizenry, Bush could leave office on November 5th and let the next President get started right away to clean up the financial catastrophe Bush has left for our 44th president.
Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter.
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Reader Comments (Page 2 of 2)
10-28-2008 @ 10:06PM
joe said...
If lowering the interest rate hasn't done anything in the past,I have lost more money!Why should it do anything now Maybe the GREED BALLS can make more!or BOY GEORGE GETS A TIP before leaving I have worked all my life and tried to do the right thing and save for retirement now I just LOSE!
10-28-2008 @ 2:02PM
Dennis said...
This guy is in the tank for Obama it is clear. Does he not know who has been in control of Congress the last two years? Does he not know that Obama was very instrumental on making banks make home loans to people who couldn't afford to pay it back in the name of spreading the wealth? Does he not know that liberal spending bills pushed and passed by the liberal congress has played a major role in getting us into this mess? How about a conservative view point on this web site for the sake of fairness? (you liberals believe in the fairness doctrine don't you?)