Just call it a case of a need to strengthen a hospital patient with IVs to make him strong enough for a much-needed operation. The Treasury and FDIC need to do more to stem the tide of home foreclosures -- foreclosures that are a major source of the currently afflicting credit markets -- so says an economist. "Stress and fear, although at lower levels, remain a pervasive feature of credit markets, with above-normal, short-term interest rates, and bank-to-bank suspicion," economist Richard Felson said Monday. "This stressed condition in credit markets is just going to linger until we shut off a major portion of the source of toxic assets -- home foreclosures."
Felson said the U.S. Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury, in conjunction with their companion major central banks and governments abroad, have done "a decent job" addressing two, key dimensions of the financial crisis: maintaining market liquidity and lowering interest rates to assist the recovery.
Progress in two other areas -- buying toxic assets and ending the pattern of home foreclosures -- has been less impressive, he said.
"The financial crisis has short-term and long-term dimensions, with the home foreclosure problem feeding the long-term pipeline," Felson said. "Simply, governments and banks must check and end the foreclosure problem, or bad bonds will continue to feed into the system, and the same bankruptcy, market stress, and contagion cycle will just continue."
The FDIC and U.S. Treasury Department are working on a program under which a bank / lender would be required to significantly drop the interest rate on a mortgage, reduce the principal or extend the life of the affected loan. In return, the bank / lender would get a government guarantee that the mortgage would be repaid.
"The FDIC's concept should be implemented and deployed as soon as possible," Felson said. "From what I've researched it is a fairly basic refinance application that could be easily applied universally, throughout the mortgage system, resulting in millions of retained homes. That's the tactic the FDIC and Treasury have to try."
Housing Sector / Economic Analysis: The U.S. Treasury has not been speedy in its effort to help homeowners, but there's no point in fretting over the past. The stock and bond/credit markets have enough bad news to deal with: what the FDIC / Treasury need to do now is quickly implement a universal refinance application for owner-occupied homes. Each refinance decision would be made on a case-by-case basis, of course, but the goal should be to get as many preventable foreclosures into 6-7%, fixed-rate, 30-year mortgages to stem the tide in home foreclosures -- the toxic asset that caused the financial crisis and one that threatens to perpetuate it.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
10-27-2008 @ 1:43PM
Virgil Bierschwale said...
Good article.
This will help a lot.
The next thing we need to do is to find these people jobs.
I have added a page on my web site at http://www.KeepAmericaAtWork.com titled JOBS and I could use all of your help in getting the info out as we need to be a country of Americans helping Americans rather then a country that is wondering what to do next.
We already know what needs to be done.
We just need to roll up our sleeves and put our people back to work and everything in our economy will be great once again.
Virgil
http://www.KeepAmericaAtWork.com
10-27-2008 @ 6:09PM
Bill said...
Foreclosure properties like those found on http://www.BuyMyHouseBeforeTheBankTakesIt.com are for sale and creating an opportunity in the market place. Foreclosure homes account for 38 % of the market place. Prices seem to be stabilizing and all lows seem to be at 2004-2005 levels. We may see a bottom at January 2004 pricing.
11-03-2008 @ 8:21AM
joseph morris said...
As usual reward the crooks and hope they care enough to correct the defect. Most of the small business I am acquainted with require a cushion of 90 days cash flow to meet payroll and operating costs. When the FINANCIAL INSTITUTION decides to reduce without warning the (earned) credit limit it results in immediate, severe hardships and when unexplained, loss of credit from other sources. The loss of cash flow cushion leads to job losses which leads to foreclosures due to lack of income. The SOLUTION is to restore the cash flow cushion. Paying the bonuses and making it harder to obtain credit is not the answer.