"There has been a very marked deterioration in the outlook for economic activity at home and abroad," the Bank of England said in a statement.
Economist Richard Felson had expected a 75-basis-point cut by the BOE. "We know that several business surveys in the U.K. are pointing to a pronounced contraction, with consumer spending showing little life. I think those facts, and the tighter credit markets, prompted the decision," Felson said. "Few expected as large a cut, but it was the correct move, and there's likely to be additional rate cuts ahead."
The BOE has now cut interest rates by 200 basis points since October 8.
The ECB also took bold action to stimulate growth, with a 50-basis point cut. Felson said continental Europe is likely to experience the effects of the downturns in consumer and business demand later, but the fact that the hawkish-leaning ECB "is in full accommodation mode" is a sign of the scope of the economic slowdown.
"We're dealing with a slowdown in all major regions of world, one where no economy will be left untouched. Every region must provide both monetary and fiscal stimulus to get the global economy back on the growth track," Felson said. "If we are fortunate we will see signs of a pick-up in business investment by mid-2009. That's the hope anyway."
Monetary Policy / Economic Analysis: Bold -- and prudent -- monetary policy moves by the BOE and ECB. Left by the wayside is the 'decoupled' thesis -- the argument that emerging markets or Europe would escape the U.S. economic slowdown unscathed. The near-opposite has been the case: falling consumer demand is hitting China's export industry, which in turn is hurting sectors that send raw materials, commodities, and components to China. Hopefully, monetary and fiscal stimulus, and other actions, will break this negative feedback loop and jump-start business demand.
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