A black Friday for 16,000 workers as Citi and Sun plan massive layoffs

On Thursday, government statistics announced that 516,000 Americans filed for unemployment in the first week of November. Today, 16,000 more workers from two companies joined what is likely to be a daily list that strikes fear into the hearts of people across the country. And why not? After eight years of declining inflation-adjusted wages, their reward for hanging on is a heightened risk of losing those jobs altogether and competing with more people for fewer jobs in a receding economy.

The two companies announcing big layoffs: a big bank and a leading tech company that sells to banks. According to reports, Citigroup (NYSE: C) may lay off 10,000 employees -- adding to the 23,000 it has already cut in the last year. Sun Microsystems (NYSE: JAVA) announced it will can 6,000 people -- 18% of its work force --- citing the need to "align its cost model with the global economic climate."

Is this the bottom? I seriously doubt it. The unemployment rate could get up to 8.5%, and maybe as high as its post-Depression high of 10.7%, up from its current 6.5%. At least that's what Nobel Prize winning economist and New York Times op-editorialist Paul Krugman expects. Needless to say, in an economy which depends on consumers for 70% of its growth, this is not good news since it divides the country into two categories -- those who lose their jobs and those who fear losing them.

And both groups are likely to spend less.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College. His eighth book, You Can't Order Change: Lessons From Jim McNerney's Turnaround at Boeing, will be published by Portfolio on December 26, 2008. He owns Citi shares and has no financial interest in Sun securities.