When Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) was developing its new and powerful i7 chip, the economy was peachy. Today, it finally launched the microprocessor chip, but into a completely different economic environment, which may mean the payout from the chip will take years.
Intel does not seem to be concerned by the timing, but perhaps it should be. According to The Wall Street Journal, "You recover from a recession with tomorrow's products, not today's," said Sean Maloney, Intel's executive vice president and chief sales and marketing officer.
Maloney's assessment may be flawed. After years of being behind Intel in product development, AMD (NYSE: AMD) seems to be finally catching up as it launches new chips of its own. If i7 sales are undercut by the tech recession, when the industry recovers, Intel will be faced with tough competition while it rebuilds its sales and earnings. In a strong economy it could build a market share lead during a period when the entire market is expanding. In a downturn, facing strong competition, its revenue could be significantly undermined
Intel also has to face a long payout cycle for the i7, which could hurt earnings. After many quarters of R&D costs, the world's largest chip company probably assumed it could recoup its investment in the i7 in a fairly short period of time. Now, that short period has become unpredictably long.
Intel's casual attitude about the i7 being an important product during a recovery is a smoke screen to hide the fact that its ROI plans have almost certainly been damaged.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
11-17-2008 @ 11:26AM
Harv said...
Very funny.....how much AMD do you own?
11-26-2008 @ 4:26PM
Jobu37 said...
Harv,
Either you are the most ignorant internet poster in the history of the world, or this is the first time you have ever read a blog by Doug.
You just accused the most anti-AMD person on the planet of being an AMD fanboy.
But then again, I have had to correct Doug on numerous occasions when he went to far and said AMD was a dead company. He may have finally looked at the data and determined that at $1.68 AMD was a steal three days ago. Reinforced today when it posted a 29% ascension. Shanghai is the next step, the Radeon graphic processors have already become the gold standard in that segment, and the two chips that follow Shanghai will be the real game-changers. Remember two years ago when Intel was losing share to AMD quarter in and quarter out? Those days are on the near horizon and I, and maybe Doug, will be along for the ride to $50 a share by the end of 2009.
There won't be any Barcelona screw ups now that Ruiz has been pushed aside. That alone may be why Doug has made an about-face.