AOL Money & Finance

Republicans to Detroit: Drop dead

It looks like the automobile industry is being led like a turkey to the slaughter as we approach Thanksgiving. While companies like General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) have been working overtime to produce a fleet of statistics to bolster their case for a Washington bailout, it's clear that President Bush and the Republicans are eager to wield a sharpened ax on its ever-more vulnerable neck.

The pre-bailout buildup follows the same narrative structure as the one for the Iraq war and the $810 billion bank bailout bill. With the Iraq War, the specter of a mushroom cloud was dropped on our unsuspecting heads. With Paulson's plan for a reverse auction to buy toxic waste, it was the threat of heavenly retribution. And now, the auto industry is promising 2.5 million lost jobs and $200 billion in government costs -- up from $125 billion last week -- if Washington does not bail it out.

The political forces lining up against the automobile industry appear more powerful than those who want to bail it out. While congressional Democrats want to divert $25 billion from Paulson's plan to bail out the auto industry, Bush and the Republicans oppose the idea. And until January, they appear to have the upper hand.

Meanwhile, President-elect Obama likes the idea of getting the industry's stakeholders to agree on what a viable auto industry would look like before giving it government money. His idea makes sense to me because, as I posted yesterday, it was one of the reasons that the 1979 Chrysler bailout worked.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in GM securities.

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Last updated: November 14, 2009: 05:28 PM

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