Usually the Treasury likes to announce its financial rescue plans before the Asian markets open on Sunday night. But it looks like this weekend, investors will need to settle for sketchy outlines of a bailout plan for now. That's because Citigroup (NYSE: C) suffered a nasty tumble last week -- ending below $5 -- which as I posted is a dangerously low level since institutional investors need to dump the stock.
The plan -- whose details are likely to become much clearer by the time the sun rises on the East coast of the U.S. -- has something to do with Citi creating a so-called bad bank which would become the home of some -- possibly $50 billion worth -- of Citi's riskiest on and off-balance sheet financial instruments. (Its on balance sheet assets total $2 trillion and it has an additional $1.23 trillion off-balance sheet ones.) And the government would step in to cover the losses of the bad bank's assets above an initial amount that Citi would cover -- getting some kind of equity stake in Citi in exchange for covering those losses.
Many questions remain unanswered. Which assets will go into the bad bank? How much of the losses from the bad bank will Citi cover? Will Citi still have sufficient capital after it covers those losses? How much will the U.S. cover? Will the Treasury get dividend-paying preferred stock or warrants in exchange for taking on those losses? What will be the source of the capital that the U.S. injects into Citi if it gets preferred?
The question for investors is whether they should put in buy orders for Citi tonight on the strength of this vague outline. It seems to me that if the government takes preferred the answer is that common shareholders will be diluted so the answer would be no. If the government gets warrants instead, the deal might boost the common.
I know Citi is a $2 trillion bank operating in 100 countries but I still struggle with the idea that it's fair to stiff the auto industry but not Citi.
Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He owns Citigroup stock











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
11-23-2008 @ 9:48PM
tanza4 said...
London, a Small World
Most of the few dozen SIVs, typically registered in offshore havens such as the Cayman Islands, are managed out of London. Most players attribute the city's dominance to the fact that SIVs are extremely complex, often taking as much as a year to set up, so it is difficult for new players to enter. Because the business started in London, most people with the necessary skills and experience are in the United Kingdom, says Geoff Fuller, an attorney with Allen & Overy LLP in London, who has advised Citigroup and other clients on SIVs and other structured-finance products. "It's a small world where people know who their competitors are," says Mr. Fuller.
Ian McDonald and Craig Karmin contributed to this article.Write to Carrick Mollenkamp at carrick.mollenkamp@wsj.com4, Deborah Solomon at deborah.solomon@wsj.com5, Robin Sidel at robin.sidel@wsj.com6 and Valerie Bauerlein at valerie.bauerlein@wsj.com7
URL for this article:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119266856453862839
11-23-2008 @ 9:50PM
DENNY said...
FIRST :ALL EXCEC'S GIVE EVERY PENNY THEY HAVE,EVEN THE HIDDEN MONEY.SECOND:NO JAIL BUT LET THEM CLEAN THE STREETS OF "NEW YORK" CITYAND THEM DO NOT FEED THEM. TAKE THEIR EVERY THING FROM THEM AND PUT THEM BACK IN GRADE SCHOOL ...THIS WOULD BE THE BEGINNING OF MY TORTURE FOR THE SCAM-ARTIST,S....STAY TUNED FOR PART TWO: THE WALL OF STREET SHAME PROVIDED BY OUR GOVERNMENT IS SECONT TO NONE......
11-23-2008 @ 10:25PM
Jack said...
Get your money out of America while you still can...before the Commies take over on Jan.20,2009....unless you don't care if you lose all your savings.
11-23-2008 @ 11:11PM
Kathy Pilz said...
To HELL w/Citi/Chase/BOA/etc.
These assholes have been stealing the average citizen blind for years. Offering low/no interst rates on credit cards so they can jack them and us up later w/ bogus fee's, late charges, and skyrocketing interest rates. Those SOB's can rot as far as I am concerned.
Where is MY BAIL OUT from these A-holes. "SEND ME THE MONEY"
KATHLEEN PILZ
11-23-2008 @ 11:19PM
alan said...
I can understand the sheer greed and even criminality of the investment banks and global banks , ie. Citi, but where have the regulators been ?
If i understand it correctly, hedge funds are "special" and not subjct to all the regs of say, mutual funds, then there are special investment vehuicles with their own set of rules and these can remain off balance sheet, and now there are even some special EFT's where you can short two dollars for every one dollar you actually invest, and my favorite the default swaps where you do not even need to own the asset/investment you are betting against. Just think of it, that's like buying an insurance policy on perfect strangers and making yourself the beneficiary. Just go to your local hospital's ICU and write down the names
It's a wonder the markets didn't blow up sooner !!
How could our government allow such obvious manipulation of the markets to happen, we are all totally f**ked !!!!
11-24-2008 @ 12:08AM
Conrad F Heede said...
The reason why the current Republican Administration wants to bail out the banks and "stiff GM" is because the neo-conservative FASCISTS want to break the back of the unions. Duuuuhhhh...
11-24-2008 @ 2:17AM
Liz said...
How can this affect a citi credit card holder?
11-24-2008 @ 4:40AM
latchkey said...
We as taxpayers should not give one penny to Citigroup! They are even now as they beg for money ripping off the very same taxpayers that they want money from by lowering the max amounts on their creditcards, which means they can increase the interest rate on the cards and charge over the limit fees. WATCH YOUR CREDITCARD STATEMENTS OVER THE NEXT FEW MONTHS!! I say we put the criminals in jail instead of giving them more money!
11-24-2008 @ 8:22AM
BHarrison said...
Pouring more money into Citi is like "beating a dead horse" . . . it isn't EVER going to get up and gallop again. This bailout of Citi is merely a ruse to "save", as much as possible, the investments that have been DEFRAUDED by the While Collar Crimes of pyramid and Ponzi schemes . . . the CEO, the CFO, and upper managment should be indicted and prosecuted for crimes; and the corporation should either go into Chapter 11, or more aptly Chapter 7 dissolution. These problems should be resolved by the "natural" effects of the Free Market Economy.
11-24-2008 @ 8:29AM
BHarrison said...
This ENTIRE DEBACLE is the FAULT of Congress' BLATANT FAILURE to provide reasonable and basic regulation of the FIs and the corporations . . . and their failure to require that all mortgage applicants be FULLY PREQUALIFIED FOR THE MORTGAGES THAT THEY APPLIED FOR. This is the basis for the subsequent pyramid and Ponzi schemes using the bad mortgages to exponentially escalate the values of the bad mortgages; and to fraudulently finance the phony construction boom. Congress is the priniciple party responsible for this entire debacle.
11-24-2008 @ 8:58AM
RPaul@ aol.com said...
Not fair - Let Citi die by there stupid investments- No one helped us hard working Amerians-work daily at hard tasks
11-24-2008 @ 9:02AM
Richard Paul said...
I moved all my Accounts to Bank of America- safe place to rest down- Amed
11-24-2008 @ 11:16AM
sacha said...
What seems to be vague in this financial debacle is not what the goverment is doing, is who the goverment is protecting.?