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Paulson to launch TARP 4.0 to buy consumer-loan backed securities

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Can someone please stop Hank Paulson from wasting more taxpayer money? Steve Forbes -- a failed 2000 presidential candidate I met a few weeks after 9/11 -- has called Paulson the worst Treasury Secretary in modern times. Now, Paulson wants to launch the fourth reincarnation of the Troubled Asset Recovery Plan (TARP) by buying securities consisting of bundles of consumer loans. In his effort to appear to be helping consumers, he is simply launching another failed Wall Street bailout.

Here's how I view the four reincarnations of TARP:

  • TARP 1.0 was to take $700 billion to buy toxic waste from Wall Street in reverse auctions. As Paulson said, America needed to pass this plan to avoid heavenly retribution. But the plan was DOA for reasons I posted about here.
  • TARP 2.0 involved buying equity stakes in banks -- the U.S. spent $159 billion for preferred shares in 24 banks. But the banks are holding onto the money and not lending it out. Perhaps they'll use it to pay $26.6 billion worth of bonuses. That's rich -- using taxpayer money to help out the people who got us into this mess.
  • TARP 3.0 was the plan to cover losses on $277 billion worth of Citigroup 's (NYSE: C) toxic waste while using $20 billion in cash to buy $27 billion worth of preferred stock yielding 8% along with warrants on 254 million shares at $10.61. Expect more of these deals as Citi competitors complain of a tilted playing field and Paulson scrambles to accommodate them. But with Citi, the U.S. protected Prince Alwaleed's common shares, other banks might not be so lucky.
  • TARP 4.0 is going to be announced at 10 this morning. It will spend between $25 billion and $100 billion of taxpayer funds to buy securities consisting of bundles of automobile, college, and credit card loans. This idea could certainly make things worse since it's securitization that helped get us into this mess in the first place.

If Paulson really wants to help consumers, he could just buy cratering car, college, and credit card loans from banks directly. But his mind has been warped to think that the only way to help anyone in society is to use government money to increase Wall Street's profits.

If anything that Paulson had done actually worked, then I might be thinking that he was being flexible and creative. But it looks to me like he is really flailing and failing instead.

Someone needs to pull the TARP out from under him.

Update. This morning, Treasury announced that TARP 4.0 is the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) -- a much bigger than expected $200 billion lending fund for holders of AAA rated securitizations backed by newly and recently originated consumer and small business loans. Based on the AAA ratings of securities that turned out to be highly risky, hold onto your wallet!

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He owns Citigroup securities.

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Last updated: November 26, 2009: 01:09 AM

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