Freeport suspends dividend, cuts production on lower demand, prices


Just call it another data point confirming the breadth and depth of the global economic slowdown. Freeport-McMoRan Wednesday suspended its dividend and cut production by 5% in 2009 and 11% in 2010, due to a sharp decline in prices, the company announced (pdf).

Freeport said it will reduce capital spending by $1.2 billion, a gargantuan 50% reduction from its previous estimate for 2009 capital spending. The company also suspended its $2 annual dividend.

Shares of Freeport (NYSE: FCX) Tuesday closed up 91 cents to $21.82 amid a broader market rally, but are declining $4.02, or over 18%, in premarket trading (8:27 am).

For the cutbacks, Freeport cited a large decrease in key commodity prices stemming from declining demand. Copper prices have declined to an average price of $1.69 per pound in November, compared to a nine-month average of $3.61 per pound as of September. Molybdenum prices have decline to $9 per pound as of December, compared to about $30 per pound in mid-October.


Economist Richard Felson said Freeport's 2009 operational cuts underscore the magnitude of the global economic slowdown. "Copper is a key component in housing and commercial buildings, for pipes and wiring, so the price declines we've seen speak to the construction slowdown in China, and in emerging markets more broadly," Felson said. "Unfortunately, Freeport is more evidence that we are heading for, if not already in, a global recession."

Stock / Economic Analysis: For decades the global economy moved forward with at least one, and during most periods two major, economic regions of the world growing. However, the increased interdependence and interconnectedness of the modern economy increased the economic 'stakes' of the game: it held out the prospect of stronger booms, but also of deeper busts, during economic troughs. There's abundant evidence we're now experiencing the latter. Hence, large fiscal stimulus -- perhaps two or three packages per year in each region -- in all major regions of the world (U.S., E.U., Asia) is now the order of the day, to jump-start the global economy.

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