AOL Money & Finance

Yahoo! buyout at $22 per share seems unlikely

More

When Michael reported yesterday that former AOL head Jon Miller was hoping to buy Yahoo! for over $20 per share, I did a double take. Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) has been floundering for the better part of 2008, and has seen its stock price plummet and its founder step down as CEO after a disastrous run that included the rejection of a $45+ billion takeover offer from Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT). One would think Yahoo! is a company without direction or drive, even with its huge, world-leading global eyeball audience.

The fact that Yahoo! has one of the top web audiences on the entire planet but can't seem to monetize it properly is a case study for future business courses. But the real question is why anyone would still want to buy such a directionless company? Enter former AOL head Jon Miller, who is reportedly trying to raise over $28 billion to buy the company for a huge premium over its closing price of $11.15 yesterday. Although Miller is an excellent high-tech leader who could probably do better than most in improving Yahoo!'s fortunes, are backers going to fund him to the tune of $28 billion?

Can Yahoo! ever regain even a piece of its former glory? Highly doubtful -- and it's incredibly hard to see financiers following Miller's logic in this economic environment and shelling out tens of billions to buy the company. Will any of them even be able to issue debt in this environment? Cowen's Jim Friedland indicated to Barron's that "the company will continue to lose share in search and that user engagement with its portal will decline over time." And that, folks, is the killer. If Yahoo! starts losing engagement over time, the game is over. This decline began a few years ago and will likely gain steam in the next two years.

Add your comments

Please keep your comments relevant to this blog entry. Email addresses are never displayed, but they are required to confirm your comments.

When you enter your name and email address, you'll be sent a link to confirm your comment, and a password. To leave another comment, just use that password.

To create a live link, simply type the URL (including http://) or email address and we will make it a live link for you. You can put up to 3 URLs in your comments. Line breaks and paragraphs are automatically converted — no need to use <p> or <br /> tags.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-17.2410,433.71
NASDAQ-6.832,169.18
S&P 500-0.591,105.65

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 07:48 AM

BloggingStocks Exclusives

Hot Stocks

DailyFinance Headlines

Latest from BloggingBuyouts

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

BioHealth Investor Headlines

WalletPop Headlines

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance

WalletPop Headlines