Thursday morning, Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) CFO released a statement saying that the company would fall short of analyst estimates for the current quarter.
CEO Howard Schultz tried to calm the market by saying that SBUX would come out of this recession a stronger, leaner company as a result.
Interestingly, Schultz laid it on thick with his view that the company would not let go of its premium blend brand that it had worked so hard to create. In plain English, he is saying that the company will not lower prices, even if the economy is in the toilet.
OK there, Howard, you tell them!
What an idiot!
Do you not see Golden Arches in your sleep, Howard? I would if I were you.
McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) product is as good or better, and it is sold at a significantly lower price.
Are you intentionally trying to destroy your company?
Seriously, I would be ticked off if I were a SBUX shareholder -- and not just for the current hubris.
During the summer months, with commodity prices increasing, Starbucks' response was to raise prices.
That move was the kiss of death, if you ask me. You do not raise prices when the economy is tanking. Cut costs, but don't raise prices.
We know now that recession had begun six months earlier in December 2007, according to the Bureau of Economic Research. Management at SBUX appears to not have recognized that little fact.
Well, they do now, but they still refuse to do what is necessary to survive, and ultimately thrive, in this environment.
McDonald's is seriously damaging whatever premium brand equity Mr. Schultz spoke of. I still do not see a plan to deal with this very real competitive threat.
As for SBUX stock, shares barely budged on the news. Some may say the bad news is already priced into the stock. I disagree.
SBUX management long ago missed the boat in dealing with a new landscape.
Without them addressing these issues with a realistic plan, I would stay away from this cup of coffee.
Jamie Dlugosch is a contributor to OptionZone.com.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
12-05-2008 @ 12:18PM
Analyze This said...
Maybe Starbucks should start selling burgers! I am one of trhe lucky ones who is not addicted to $4.00 a cup coffee!
12-05-2008 @ 1:16PM
Warren said...
Basic branding and marketing know-how would tell you that lowering prices would completely eliminate all that Starbacks has worked to create. The expensive coffee IS the Starbucks brand. If they lower prices, they throw that away and then Starbucks means nothing in the customers eyes. It becomes just another place to get coffee.
He isn't an idiot. He's thinking long term. Panicking and slashing prices in the short term is NOT the right move. That's true if for no other reason than once prices come down, they can never go back up. Customers won't stand for it.
12-05-2008 @ 1:57PM
Chris Posey said...
Gotta agree with Warren. While it is indeed unfortunate for Starbucks (and their shareholders) at times like this that the (high) price of their primary product is tied to their brand, but to lower prices would be more of a suicidal move to the Starbucks brand than would be temporarily losing some business because of a down economy. If I were a SBUX shareholder, I would be angrier if they lowered their prices and compromised the entire brand.
12-05-2008 @ 2:14PM
Ian said...
Starbucks' market is NOT that of McDonald's and Dunkin Donuts. Their new mission statement is "To inspire and nurture the human spirit— one person, one cup, and one neighborhood at a time." Doesn't sound like an organization fearing fast food franchises.
That does not mean selling mass produced coffee, but to establish a relationship with their customers. Starbucks, before and after its overexpansion, had this ambiance that has not been successfully duplicated by any national chain or Franchise that remains in business today.
Starbucks can be rescued if the company agrees to return to the core principles established years ago by Howard Schultz, and not by cheapening its brand...
12-05-2008 @ 2:40PM
ed said...
When times are good, fine, spend 6 dollars on a cup of coffee, but when times are bad, only a fool spends that much and pretends that everything is okey-dokey. Starbucks can continue to create a feel of La-La land for their customers if they desire at their peril.
12-05-2008 @ 4:27PM
Mike O said...
When things were good, I got an expensive cup of coffee once a week. Now it's once a month, at best.
If people continue to look at alternatives (e.g., McDonalds, Dunkin Donuts, mom-and-pop shops, or their kitchen), Starbucks will have to lower prices or find other ways to cut costs and be competitive.
12-05-2008 @ 6:52PM
Ian said...
Starbucks primary product is customer service, not coffee. Perhaps bad for Wall Street, but good for its customers.
12-05-2008 @ 7:20PM
Wily said...
Howard is committing suicide. Forget McDonalds and Dunkin. Howard had a great idea and way too many people think is some kind of genius. He is not. People are finding a great many wonderful, comfortable, new coffee houses that make great coffee for much less cost. By the time this long recession ends, the coffee market will be diluted and the brand will become thought of as overpriced and foolish for never lowering prices during a harsh economic period. Howard is being stubborn and foolish.
12-08-2008 @ 12:31PM
Paul said...
I agree with Wily, Howard had a great idea and did an admirable job teaching the population about having a coffee and getting a great experience. It's a great success story in American business. But with expansion and size come issues, particuliarly when you don't have "on premise" owners in there everyday making sure the experience is consistent.That's one of the problems with any multiple unit organization. The best managers in a company organization get promoted and then the process of change occurs in the location...this disrupts the natural daily flow of activity. Plus, you don't have the "vested" interest an operator has. That's why McDonalds has been so successful. Another added benefit is having operators constantly trying to do things better in their locations, which results in powerful practical and actionable ideas. Which is why many of the early menu additions and innovations came from the licensees themselves...they (McDonald's) developed a true partnership. If this peaks your interest, you might want to read my book which came out last month, "Everything I learned about Business I learned From McDonald's.
12-20-2008 @ 6:12PM
CoffeeTraveler said...
I'm confused. I travel for a living....and in most places I see -- coffee at McDonalds costs the same. A cup of coffee at SBUX starts around a buck...the same as McDonalds...but the McDonalds coffee is bland and week. And...have you tried the McD Latte? OK if you like all the artificial and sweet flavor...and it's usually only 10 cents cheaper. i'd rather give my extra 10 cents for the natural ingrediants, service, and knowing everyone serving me has health insurance. Why the heck would anyone lower prices when the are already at competitor levels, but they're giving so much back to customers and employees. Am I off base here?