This post is part of a series featuring bargain stocks that are worth a look now. See more Cheap Stocks.
If you had to judge solely by its year-to-date price action, you would probably never guess that Hudson City Bancorp (NASDAQ: HCBK) is, well, a bank. The shares are currently holding onto a year-to-date gain, and they're thriving for good reason. Paramus, New Jersey-based HCBK is feeling so flush, it recently rejected the opportunity to rake in some of the government's TARP funds.
In a statement accompanying the news, Chairman, CEO, and President Ronald Hermance Jr. explained how Hudson City has endured the financial crisis: "We have never offered subprime mortgages ... or other risky mortgage products. We do not sell any of our loan production to the secondary market. We keep all of our loans in portfolio. As a result, we have not been seriously affected by conditions in the marketplace."
Honestly, Hudson City Bancorp seems to be operating in its own economy independent from the rest of the U.S. Check out some of the figures the bank holding company reported on October 15 in its second-quarter earnings release: profit jumped 64% to hit a record 25 cents per share, one cent higher than analysts expected; through September 30, year-to-date deposits added $2.14 billion to $17.29 billion, while total year-to-date assets rose by $7.35 billion to $51.77 billion; and HCBK reported that it's actually writing more mortgages now than it was last year.
With all this background information in mind, it's no wonder that HCBK's price action looks so healthy. The stock ended November on a gain of 11.2% year-to-date, far outpacing the performance of the broader market. A few significant pullbacks in the shares have reversed course after finding support from their 50-month moving average.
In fact, HCBK has rarely ventured south of the $15 level this year. As the equity advances, the $19.50 area could prove a difficult region to topple. However, there's room for pessimism to reverse on this banking stock, which could provide the buying power necessary to topple this resistance level.
Analysts have low expectations for Hudson City, despite its enviable bottom line. Thomson Financial reports the average 12-month price target as $18.20, which leaves plenty of room for upward revisions to this consensus estimate. In the same skeptical vein, Zacks notes that 78% of brokerage firms following the shares consider them a Hold or Sell.
I can't blame analysts for dogging the financial sector, but these negative ratings seem inspired more by the performance of Hudson City's peers than by the bank itself. Any bullish notes from analysts -- which seem richly deserved, by now -- could attract more buying pressure to HCBK. As of November 30, the stock's price/earnings ratio of 20.7 was well below its five-year average p/e of 29, so snap up these shares while they're still on sale.
Elizabeth Harrow is an analyst and financial writer in the research department at Schaeffer's Investment Research. She is featured in the video series Schaeffer's Daily Q&A on SchaeffersResearch.com.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
12-08-2008 @ 2:17PM
Bob Smutny said...
Yes, I am a first time user and find the info related to my revising my portfolio of stocks and keeping up with the happenings with corporate structures. Thanks....BOB
1-08-2009 @ 11:10AM
patrick said...
First Niagra Financial Group(fnfg),did even better than Hudson City Bankcorp.FNFG rose a little better than30% in 2008 with a low of $9.00 to a high of $22.00 and is now tradeing around $15.00 a share.They have locations from Niagra Falls N.Y.to AlabanyN.Y.They are also in the insurance business,and the best news of all is they stayed out of the Subprime Loan Business.There has been some of them expanding into Ohio and Pennsylvania.I think there worth a look if your interested in banking stocks.
Happy New Year
Patrick From Pa.
1-12-2009 @ 8:11AM
Dan said...
Why would anyone invest in the financial sector and any bad debts they may have when they can provide a private mortgage directly via a title company to a real estate investor who is buying the property at 50 cents on the dollar from the banks REO department? The investement is secured by a first mortgage on a single property with tons of equity, a promissory note, hazard insurance, and title insurance. And as a Realtor and Real Estate investor in Florida I know many of us are willing to pay over 8% fixed interest rate!
If you want more information on a really smart investement you can email me on Aol. My screenname is DreamHomes4edu.