This post is part of a series featuring bargain stocks that are worth a look now. See more Cheap Stocks.
Of the 15 components on our Cheap Stocks roster, Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS) is the one that my colleague Nick Perry dubbed "a bold choice." With plenty of question marks still surrounding the major financial names, there are undoubtedly those who will go even further and dub this pick "an unwise choice." On the other hand, some will probably just say we're stealing Warren Buffett's idea. With all potential criticisms thusly taken into consideration, let's take a look at what makes Goldman so hard to resist.
First, let's be upfront about the fundamentals. Amid the recent financial crisis, Goldman Sachs is one of the few major names on Wall Street that still has a pulse. Although it's now a bank holding company rather than an investment bank, Goldman stands out by sheer virtue of the fact that it has dodged bankruptcy rumors and has not needed an emergency rescue by one of its peers.
In fact, Goldman Sachs survived because it knew that most of those subprime-derived securities were toxic, and placed bets that the investments would lose value. Regardless, the bank still sold those securities to its clients, so we're not talking about the financial equivalent of Mother Theresa. On the bright side, nor are we discussing the financial equivalent of Nero -- and in today's market, there are plenty of favorable comparisons to be made between GS and its sector peers.
For example, Goldman was the first major financial name to come out and say that its top executives would not receive bonuses for their performance in 2008. While it may be a largely symbolic gesture, since CEO Lloyd Blankfein probably won't go hungry without his bonus, the decision was well-received as a good-faith offering to shareholders.
Ahead of the company's fourth-quarter earnings report, scheduled for mid-December, many analysts are warning that Goldman could report its first-ever quarterly loss since going public. The shares are currently trading sub-IPO levels, which could indicate that the market has already priced in that bleak news. However, with those warnings in mind, skeptical investors may want to wait until after that closely watched report to pull the trigger on a GS investment.
On the charts, keep an eye on potential technical support at the $50 level. This is an equity that has previously been very respectful of round-number regions, so any potential post-earnings pullback could exhaust itself here. (It's worth noting that round numbers, along with other technical support and resistance areas, are less likely to exert their influence during periods of overwhelming headwinds in the sector.)
From a sentiment perspective, it's interesting to note that GS has garnered fewer Buy ratings than its sector peer Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), which is currently shouldering the burden of its Countrywide Financial and Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) purchases. Zacks reports that Goldman has garnered just five Buy or better ratings, compared to seven for BAC. As the synergies -- or lack thereof -- from BAC's fixer-upper acquisitions begin to emerge more clearly, GS could once again benefit from favorable comparisons.
I won't lie; the Goldman Sachs pick is not for the faint of heart. However, more adventurous investors may find no better opportunity to snap up the shares at a bargain price. With an incredibly slim price/earnings ratio of 4.7 as of November 30 -- compared to its five-year average p/e of 12.0 -- you'd be hard-pressed to find GS at a more affordable price.
Elizabeth Harrow is an analyst and financial writer in the research department at Schaeffer's Investment Research. She is featured in the video series Schaeffer's Daily Q&A on SchaeffersResearch.com.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
12-08-2008 @ 8:13AM
Amey said...
I think there is still too much risk left in stocks like GS
12-08-2008 @ 7:17PM
steve said...
I think we will see GS at 50 before we see it at 100. They still have to report earnings and have you forgot about this little thing called a recession? I have heard so people say we are in the clear, this the bottom. I hardly doubt we are at the bottom. A couple DOW rallies, doesn't mean we are at the bottom, its called Bear Market Rally and it will come to an end.
12-08-2008 @ 7:14PM
Sam said...
I agree with you there Amey.. there sure is a risk. I would not invest for the long term in this market - tho trading is a very lucrative option.
Having said that - how about a cheap AND defensive pick with a long history of dividends and a long history of earnings that have bettered analyst estimates.
Read more at:
http://tickertoday.blogspot.com/2008/12/jnj-not-just-defensive-pick.html
-Sam
http://tickertoday.blogspot.com
12-09-2008 @ 12:39AM
kenc29 said...
Of course I think Goldman is a good buy. It was my first job after college. I owned some of the original shares after they went public. Hard to believe all that has happened since then.
I think they'll surprise on the upside. Goldman was always good at playing possum. They used to use recessions as an opportunity to get rid of the chaff, as they had a strong reluctance to get rid of staff otherwise.
12-09-2008 @ 3:36AM
vikash Kumar said...
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12-10-2008 @ 5:22AM
vikash Kumar said...
Good article with thorough research
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