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Every time I write about Monsanto Company (NYSE: MON), I get e-mails from vocal opponents of genetically modified foods. It strikes me as unusual, if only because there are so many companies out there doing business in an ethically questionable manner, and I'm rarely e-mailed about most of them. But, hey -- I can't blame anybody for being protective of the food supply.
If you're morally opposed to Monsanto, I definitely don't recommend you invest in it. Otherwise, there are valid reasons for taking a closer look at this agricultural chemicals firm. For example, on October 21, S&P Ratings hiked its long-term ratings on MON from "A" to "A+," citing the "expected continuation for favorable business trends ... a very strong market position ... and an impressive pipeline of new products that should underpin strong future earnings and cash flow."
Add sugar cane to the pipeline; Monsanto recently announced its intention to acquire Brazil's Aly Participacoes Ltda for $290 million. With sugar cane emerging as a popular alternative to corn for ethanol production, the acquisition makes sense. Carl Casale, the company's head of global strategy and operations, observed, "... we think that the biotechnology traits that we've invested in [corn] can bring a lot of value to sugar, as well."
In fairness, though, Monsanto is already doing quite well with its existing product line. During the fourth quarter, which is cyclically its weakest, MON narrowed its net loss as revenue climbed 35% to $2.05 billion. Gross profit margin for the period improved from 42.4% to 46.8%. Amid the ongoing credit crunch, it also doesn't hurt that CFO Terry Crews says his company's net debt could fall to zero during the current quarter. (That Aly Participacoes buy? Paid for in cash.)
On the charts, MON is hanging tough to its foothold atop the $70 level. The shares have smoothed out into a period of sideways price action of late, which indicates that selling pressure is beginning to exhaust itself. Additionally, the stock seems to have caught a lift from its 40-month moving average, which is currently rising through the $70 level.
As a point of caution -- from a contrarian standpoint, of course -- Monsanto already receives a lot of accolades on Wall Street. Eight out of 10 analysts recommend buying the shares, according to Zacks, while the consensus 12-month price target is a whopping $137.82. Any downgrades from this bullish group could drag MON lower, although the stock's perch atop round-number support could forestall negative notes during the short term.
Finally, take a look at MON's price/earnings ratio of 21.8 as of November 30. With the equity's average five-year p/e ratio checking in at 67.4, these shares are definitely priced to move.
Elizabeth Harrow is an analyst and financial writer in the research department at Schaeffer's Investment Research. She is featured in the video series Schaeffer's Daily Q&A on SchaeffersResearch.com.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
1-12-2009 @ 3:35PM
Keith Houston said...
I wouldn't buy 1 share from Monsanto because all they care about is profit & they treat their employees like garbage.
Yes, I know very well how Monsanto does business. I worked for them for 21 years & they run their plants very reckless & could care less what hazards they expose their employees to. The plant I worked at was very run down & they would make temporary repairs so they could keep running to make that profit & the temporary repairs were actually permanent until the problem occured again. I had big hopes for my employment with them until I realized all they cared about was the bottom line.
They sold our plant which was eventually shut down & moved to Belgium because Belgium had no environment policies & the labor was cheap so some day this moving overseas so they could increase their profits will come back to bite them because when Belgium figures out that Monsanto releases their pollution into their air & water, they will take action against Monsanto & I hope they eventually get what they desearve.