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Is Boeing's fourth 787 delay its last?

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The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA) has announced its fourth delay in delivering its first of nearly 900 unit order backlog of its 787 Dreamliner from the original May 2008 to the current first quarter 2010. After parts problems and an eight week machinists strike, this does not come as a surprise but many customers are probably wondering whether there will be more delays in the future. Unfortunately, it is unclear whether Boeing has learned enough from these delays to keep them from happening in the future.

If a study by Boeing competitor, Airbus, is to be believed, the 787 has been plagued by a wide range of management problems. The study suggests that when Boeing outsourced a significant portion of the 787's design and assembly integration, it failed in overseeing those partners. Airbus's study suggests that Boeing should have known about the following six problems:

  • Its partners' factory workers lacked the skill to do their jobs - The study claims that these workers were "low-wage, trained-on-the-job workers that had no previous aerospace experience."
  • Some of its partners lacked design staff - The study claims that one of its partners, Vought, "had no engineering department when selected" by Boeing.
  • Some of its suppliers could not produce enough parts - The study claims there was "insufficient supply of frame, clips brackets and floor beams."
  • Inability to control the 787 production schedule - The study says that Boeing could not control the timing or quality of delayed work, noting that "deferred work [was] found to be incomplete or lost in transfer" and that parts that did arrive complete to final assembly were "found to be completed incorrectly" requiring additional rework in Boeing's Everett, WA plant.
  • Lack of quality assurance process - The study found that Boeing did not have enough quality testing to meet production demand -- noting a "lack of qualified non-destructive inspection/quality assurance personnel (NDI/QA) and equipment at Tier-2 and -3 suppliers." And it found that Boeing deferred this testing to make up for lost time.
  • Delays in design schedule that led to a fastener shortage - The study suggests that the 787's well-publicized fastener shortage was due to the late redesign of a wing part called a "sleeved fastener for lightning strike protection that primarily impacted Mitsubishi's wing production." The 60 week delay led Alcoa (NYSE: AA), Boeing's fastener supplier, to under-produce the "tailored-length fasteners" that Boeing needed.

In researching my book, I found that Boeing has since taken steps to deal with these problems, employing a trust by verify approach to suppliers. Moreover, since Airbus has had its own problems with its jumbo A380 -- costing $12 billion -- it is clear that neither of these players has figured out how to bring off these new aircraft without a glitch.

But given the importance of the aircraft industry to the global economy, let's hope they both learn from each others' mistakes.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College. His eighth book, You Can't Order Change: Lessons From Jim McNerney's Turnaround at Boeing, will be published by Portfolio on December 26, 2008. He has no financial interest in the securities mentioned.

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Last updated: November 26, 2009: 05:09 AM

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