After months of struggle, OPEC gets its act together


OPEC members have not been in concert about when to cut production and by how much. The cartel's November meeting came and went. Nothing happened. Some members were accused of not following the September cut plan.

But, now crude is moving toward $40 and some of the producing nations are in real financial trouble. Russia, which is not a member, is also pushing cuts to bring prices back up, at least to the $60 level.

The financial pain of oil prices that are too low to make big money is about to force action by the cartel. According to Reuters, "There is an OPEC consensus on the reduction. But I can not tell you (more)," said OPEC President Chakib Khelil.

It was assumed before the November meeting that a production cut of two million barrels of oil a day would do the trick. Since then there have been reports that worldwide consumption of crude will drop for the first time since 1983. And, China is actually importing less than it has in a decade.

What happens now? It is anyone's guess, but a chop of 2.5 million to 3 million barrels a day in production would certainly not be surprising. If that happens crude could go up $20 in a flash.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com

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