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Eaton (ETN) drops on lowered guidance

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ETN logoEaton (NYSE: ETN - option chain) stock is falling today after the company cut its fourth-quarter earnings guidance. ETN now expects adjusted EPS of $1 to $1.10, down from an earlier estimate of $1.70 to $1.80. Analysts are looking for EPS of $1.68. ETN cited weakness in the American auto market for the cuts. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on ETN.

This morning, ETN opened at $41.59. So far today the stock has hit a low of $40.61 and a high of $42.60. As of 11:50, ETN is trading at $42.31, down $1.60 (-3.6%). The chart for ETN looks neutral and S&P gives ETN a 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a January bear-call credit spread above the $50 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.1% return in one month as long as ETN is below $50 at January expiration. Eaton would have to rise by more than 18% before we would start to lose money.

ETN hasn't been above $50 since early November and shown resistance around $48 recently.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in ETN.
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Last updated: July 06, 2009: 09:45 PM

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