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If you must: a defensive play or two

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The U.S. economy remains weak - - grappling with its most severe recession in decades. Credit remains tight, although U.S. government interventions have stabilized the financial system (so far). Further, there are major public policy unknowns: a new administration, the Obama Administration, takes office in January 2009 - - a reality that could substantially alter the investing landscape.

Now is not the time to establish new positions in stocks or add to positions, so says Stock Analyst C. Leonard Bauer.

Still, investors, being a risk-taking lot, sometimes just can't heed the advice to remain sidelined. They're like children seeking to open a gift before the holiday arrives, and because the good C. Leonard does not want to be viewed as a new Ebenezer Scrooge, he offered the following defensive plays heading into the new year.

Heads up: Bauer would buy shares in only one of the following defensive plays:

AT&T (NYSE: T). Price: $27.90, p/e: 12. Simply, 'Ma Bell' has what it takes to survive the economic downturn - - one that's likely to thin the communications field, Bauer said. A global footprint, and ample engineering / research talent also means T will be well-positioned for Web 2.0's big growth period, as the U.S. economy recovers.


Verizon (NYSE: VZ). Price: $33.00, p/e: 15. Verizon has strong cash flow and a strong presence in a lucrative region -- the Northeast U.S. Broadband initiatives (FiOS, DSL) are also performing well, Bauer said. Further, VZ's cellphone business should offset some landline attrition.

Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG). Price: $60.50, p/e: 16. A quintessential defensive play. A company with, arguably, the most-diverse global footprint, PG has the consumer brands that will endure, and has done a good job containing costs, Bauer said.

Cola-Cola (NYSE: KO). Price: $44.05, p/e: 17. A good luck charm play, Bauer said, "Because no one ever went broke, holding Coke." In addition, KO remains the world's top soft-drink company, even amid the health / sports drink trend. It has four of the top five soft-drink brands: Coca-Cola, Diet Coke, Fanta, and Sprite.

United Technologies (NYSE: UTX). Price: $51.05, p/e: 11. The diversified industrial and aerospace giant is practically a blue-chip mutual fund in one company, Bauer said. Bauer really likes UTX's air conditioning / heating business, elevator business, and global footprint.

Safest Defensive Play: Procter & Gamble, Bauer said.

Disclosure: Bauer has no positions in stocks. Lazzaro has no positions in stocks, but does own shares in two Pimco Bond Funds: PHDAX and PYMAX.
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Last updated: July 06, 2009: 06:35 PM

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