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Should President-elect Obama propose a $10 per barrel oil tax?

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During the past four years, as gasoline first soared above $3, then $4, the United States transferred more than $2 trillion is wealth to oil producing nations, to which OPEC says, "Thank you very much."

However, in recent months, the price of oil has collapsed with the onset of the U.S. and global recessions, and oil now appears destined to test $30 per barrel - - and probably lower levels - - in the year ahead. Oil traded Wednesday down $1.53 to $37.43 per barrel, with regular unleaded gasoline averaging about $1.55-$1.75 nationwide. Incredibly, the stunning turn of events in the oil market means that energy from crude is now 'comfortably priced.'

Still, with three oil shocks (1973-74, 1979-80, 2007-08) having contributed to or directly causing three U.S. recessions, oil's drift back toward 'comfortable' levels re-opens the door for a policy debate: namely, should the U.S. let its economy remain vulnerable to prices swings in this volatile commodity or should it consider a tax to fund alternative energy sources for transportation.

Is a $10 oil tax up ahead?


Economist Peter Dawson said it seems almost unfathomable that the American people and Congress would be willing to ship $100 per barrel (or more) in oil revenue to foreign governments, and not to its own government, but that is precisely the case.


"This is another case where the 'free market' philosophy leads to public policy idiocy," Dawson said. "The oil lobby is so strong in the U.S., it's able to defeat almost any oil tax. As a result, because we import more than 40% of our oil, Americans pay hundreds of billions of dollars in oil costs to foreign governments. So in effect, we won't pay for our public policies, but we'll pay for other countries' public policies, which makes no sense."

What would make more sense, in Dawson's interpretation? Pass a federal, $10 per barrel oil tax, and restrict the money's use to alternative / renewable energy resources research, and energy efficiency, including development of next-generation cars, engines, and heating/cooling systems. A $10 tax on oil would generate $70-100 billion per year in federal revenue, Dawson said.

Will President-elect Obama propose a $10 oil tax? "Probably not. The fiscal stimulus package is priority No. 1 and that will take a lot of political capital," Dawson said. "The oil tax would be hotly debated. If he proposed it, Obama would probably be accused of trying to re-unite the old Soviet Union, so he's not likely to propose the tax."

And so the United States, from an energy independence standpoint, will remain far behind where it needs to be on energy policy -- and well behind Europe, he said.

And when the price of oil resumes its arc up (and we know it will) as the U.S. and global economies start to recover, United States citizens will resume shipping hundreds of billions of dollars into the coffers of foreign governments, including OPEC, he added. "The American consumer has been a great customer for OPEC," Dawson said.

Fiscal Policy / Oil Analysis: A $10 oil tax to fund renewable energy and conservation -- some argue the tax should be $20 -- merits consideration. It could speed the transition to renewable energy and keep more energy dollars at home, working in the U.S. economy, and creating domestic-based jobs. It would also enhance U.S. foreign policy options by making oil producing nation interests in the Middle East a less-important consideration in foreign policy decisions.

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Last updated: July 06, 2009: 05:35 AM

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