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U.S. initial jobless claims hit 26-year high

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Yet another ignominious data point for the job market, and by extension, for the U.S. economy and the stock market.

U.S. initial jobless claims surged 30,000 to 586,000 for the week ending December 20, the U.S. Labor Department announced Wednesday -- the highest initial weekly jobless claims total since 1982.

"Any level above 500,000 is high, but now we're soaring toward 600,000. This has to be reversed soon, or the unemployment rate is going to sail over 8% by the time the recovery starts," economist Peter Dawson said.

The U.S. unemployment rate currently is 6.7%. An 8% unemployment rate "would be very bad news for corporate revenue and earnings, and the stock market, in addition to increasing social service costs of the states," Dawson said.


Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News had expected this week's initial jobless claims to total 552,000. Claims for the previous week were revised to 556,000.

In addition, the 4-week moving average soared 13,750 to 544,250. Economists view the 4-week average as a better indicator of unemployment conditions, as it smooths-out anomalies for strikes, holidays, or other idiosyncratic events.

One bright spot: continuing claims dipped 17,000 to 4.387 million. Still, economists note that the level reflects labor market stress, and the long time it takes for those downsized to find comparable employment. Few companies are filling vacancies, and even temporary work assignments are declining, another negative sign for the labor market.

Economic Analysis: No Christmas 'rally' for the labor market, as poor job market conditions persist. The aforementioned underscores the need for passage of a large fiscal stimulus package as the new year dawns -- one that includes an extension of unemployment benefits for the states.

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Last updated: November 28, 2009: 01:29 AM

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