Before the Bell: Stocks seem to shrug off awful holiday spending data

Stock markets are poised to open higher as investors -- those that are not taking a holiday break -- reacted favorably to news that the government will allow GMAC LLC to become a bank holding company, giving the finance arm of General Motors Corp. (NYSE:GM) the opportunity to qualify for the government's $700 billion rescue fund.

That news will be tempered by data indicating the holiday shopping season was godawful. Retail sales fell between 5.5 percent and 8 percent compared with last year, according to SpendingPulse. Without auto or gas sales, the decline is between 2 percent and 4 percent, according to the Associated Press. Sales plunged as much as 25 percent in November alone.

Retailers are hoping to lure customers into their stores today with early-morning bargains. Whether that brings the companies some late Christmas cheer remains to be seen. With rising unemployment and falling home prices, many people skipped the holiday season entirely because they could not afford it. Many who could afford presents probably were not feeling very merry.

Other factors that may move the market include oil prices. Prices rose above $36 as investors bet that members of OPEC would stick to their production cuts even as demand continues to fall amdist the economic slowdown. The gain may short-lived.

"All the economic figures are pointing to demand destruction, and that's not going to change soon," said Christoffer Moltke-Leth, head of sales trading for Saxo Capital Markets in Singapore, in an interview with the AP. "There seems to be no end to the bad news from economic data."
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Last updated: February 13, 2012: 02:49 PM

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