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How can investors keep Obama, Democrats (economically) honest?

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The United States is preparing for a new year, and a new presidential administration -- one that has the potential to usher-in a rejuvenation of the U.S. economy, society, and culture, after nearly a decade of descent.

Still, that's not to say measures should not be taken to keep the Obama Administration and the Democrats honest. Now yours truly is not talking about the rhetorical observations and critiques of right-wing talk radio, which opposes seemingly everything from an increase in federal student loan programs to the rising of the sun in the east, but rather about techniques investors can use to make sure the Obama Administration remains true to its word -- i.e., to keep Obama and the Democrats honest.

Benchmark 1: The economy and job growth. Obama and the Democrats have promised a large fiscal stimulus package that invests in the nation's infrastructure and public institutions (schools, hospitals, civil administration buildings, parks), and that provides aid to the states, among other benefits. The fiscal stimulus package alone will not guarantee a return to robust economic growth and job creation, but it will point the U.S. economy in the direction of sustainable growth, with hundreds of thousands of jobs that will help 'prime the pump' for additional commercial activity. Hence, the U.S. economy and the stimulus package represent the top priority: any failure to deliver here would be a serious underperformance.

Benchmark 2: Energy policy. Simply, Obama and the Dems have to wean the U.S off oil. Included in this task should be an auto rescue bill that points the nation toward both the "supercar" -- development of alternative energy resources -- and a smarter, stronger electric grid. Among the benefits: an end to the U.S. send up to a $500 billion per year payment to foreign governments for oil consumption. Energy policy will not be easy, but it must be accomplished.

Benchmark 3: Health care policy. Another gargantuan task, but one that has the potential to achieve large cost savings for both federal/state governments and citizens. Every major, industrialized nation provides universal health care for its citizens and delivers health care at a lower cost per citizen than the United States. Obama and the Dems believe it's time the U.S. health care system did as well, hence any underperformance here would be a demerit.

Benchmark 4: Elimination of needless government programs. Reordering the old partisan axis, Obama has promised to eliminate government programs that aren't working or that are simply wasting money. Many Republicans don't realize that this means useless defense programs and Republican "pet" programs, as well. Obama's first, proposed budget will help determine if he is that next-generation public official that was publicized during the 2008 campaign.

Fiscal Policy/Economic Analysis: The above, of course, does not include education policy, and large issues relating to foreign policy, but if Obama and Democrats meet the above benchmarks, they will have met the truth-in-advertising requirement. Stay tuned.

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Financial Editor Joseph Lazzaro in writing a book on the U.S. presidency and the U.S. economy.

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Last updated: November 11, 2009: 07:31 PM

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