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Obama: Watch for trillion dollar deficits

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President-elect Obama is telling the public that the US may run a trillion dollar deficit to bailout the economy. According to The New York Times, he made the point that Americans face the unparalleled prospect of "trillion-dollar deficits for years to come," a stark assessment of the budgetary outlook that he said would force his administration to impose tighter fiscal discipline on the government.

After absorbing the shock of how large the number is, most people ask where the money will come from. Almost everyone already knows the answer. It will be passed on to taxpayers, probably in a few years when the economy recovers.

But, where the money comes from is the wrong question. The much more important issue is how it gets spent. The first proposal from the new administration is that about $700 billion gets invested in building infrastructure from roads to medical IT upgrades to broadband. This part of the plan is disturbing. The jobs it creates may take months. Getting complex programs for building out new schools and upgrading the energy grid means moving people to the geographic areas where the work needs to be done. It means creating agencies to oversee the work. That could take the better part of a year. The economy may be almost beyond repair at that point.

Tax saving probably mainline money to the consumer more quickly. But, if that consumer puts the money in the bank or pays down a credit card, retail spending at all levels is not helped one tiny bit.

The trillion dollars may be heading into the economy and it may be followed by a trillion more. If it does not create jobs in the next quarter and does not offer an incentive for people to spend rather than save, much of the investment may be useless.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Last updated: November 11, 2009: 03:33 AM

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