If we keep hearing about companies that are "too big to fail" what in the world are we doing allowing Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) to swallow up everything in their financial path so that they can become even bigger, potentially creating the next catastrophe! During my tenure at BloggingStocks I have made some bonehead calls and some that were more astute. Among my better calls was the story I wrote 20 months ago, Break up Citigroup as soon as possible, and the follow on story a year later when nothing had changed: Citigroup should hire forensic auditors. My colleagues Peter Cohan and Douglas McIntyre made similar points.
Given these stories and the dialog I have had with many of our intelligent and equally frustrated readers, I have had thoughts of starting a non-profit organization to shadow the Securities and Exchange Commission that has been dormant for the last ten years. Instead of hiring Wall Street types to run the SEC we might do better hiring inquisitive university students, and not from the business or law schools, but the accounting, journalism and criminology programs.
When you become the largest financial institution in the world offering everything from home mortgages to arranging tee times for your Premier Banking clients, where do you go from there? The answer is you go to the same place as all your predecessors. You blow up! And NO, it won't be different this time! It's just a question of when, and how many innocent bystanders will be taken down with you when the blow-up occurs -- and it will!
Why do BAC and JPM want to be Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C)? The answer is because they have visions of grandeur and once again their egos are getting the best of them.
It is madness to allow companies to become so large that they can affect the economies of nations. It is greater madness still, for our government in the midst of a financial crises, to actually make the same mistakes even before they rectify the past mistakes.
Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I do not own shares of the companies mentioned.



Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
1-07-2009 @ 7:10PM
Bobby said...
Mr. Liber, while I share your concern, generally in recessionary times consolidation claims it's victims to those more business savvy with deeper pockets. If BAC & Morgan can't steer through these troubled waters with the financial hurricane the industry's been through,, who can? Hopefully, lessons learned will create a 'smarter' industry willing to police themselves in the name of survival. This isn't an anti trust matter & I still believe in free markets, big brother has his hands in enough in this developing disaster....
1-07-2009 @ 7:21PM
Sheldon L said...
Bobby,
I can agree with your comments, my post is a cautionary tale. Business and government often plant the seeds of our next crises in the haphazard solutions they devise for the current one.
1-07-2009 @ 8:34PM
Bobby said...
Sheldon,
I think we agree in theory that a widespread healthy industry is the ideal answer to a competative free market system. That's the largest problem I assume you're speaking of as the bottom feeders snap up the residue from this catastrophe. In the end I'm hoping consumers have learned enough lessons curtailing breakneck speed growth that never was real to begin with keeping the financial institutions in check with their own reality. Take care...
1-07-2009 @ 8:43PM
william lindblad said...
Good point, but needless.
Sheldon, BAC started as the Bank of Italy and without the foresight of its founder the quake of San Fran would have been even a greater disaster. As I have said in a statement to Peter, no doubt they are pulling their ears in, but, so are all others.
As J.P. Morgan said back in 1909. Let those fail that deserve to fail. That is happening and consolidation will become a necessity for the system to survive. Citi has made monumental mistakes in the past but has investors (major) that will influence future decisions. They can't keep screwing up or the bail out cash won't be there, besides those who put up the big bucks will have a bit to say about how the business is run.
In the overall scheme of this mess - these are worth writing about but are really not big players. Now that is a mindless statement. Don't take bets.
Personally, I am more concerned about my next load of firewood!
These are the times that try mens souls - AKA - worry about your own ass.
1-07-2009 @ 10:11PM
Carol said...
Dear Mr. Liber,
Thank you for the great article. I own an interest in all the companies, BAC JPM and Citibank. Like many of my ordinary shareholder friends we watch as the paper value of our wealth disappears. But not to enrage the world it is a great time to buy really good companies with a nice dividend that seem to have stayed simple, XOM, KFT, PM, MO, and quite a few others. As Daddy said, this too shall pass and better days are ahead for the market. Again thank you for the your thoughts they made me smile on a day when the market dropped another 200 plus points. Take care.
1-08-2009 @ 1:39AM
Gary E. Sattler said...
Sheldon, I like what you have to say here, but I see the problem as possibly being even larger than you suggest. This consolidation and condensing of worth, whether real worth or speculated worth, is indicative of a world banking system which is drawing all tangible capital value unto itself with the assistance and guidance of political powers.
The current devastating collapse of a debt supported world financial structure was inevitable, and began in the 1970s. However, we continue to pursue the fallacy of future growth being able to support or supplant present debt.
The saddest part is that all the major "power centers" in the world are continuing to push the lie that we can recover from this collapse by pursuing a solution which mimics the original cause. However, you'll notice that the banks know it won't work. That's why the bail-out billions seem to be disappearing into a black hole somewhere. Have you seen a loosening in the credit markets? Neither have I.
Banks will come and banks will go. Little banks may be swallowed up by big ones. It all matters not. The simple fact of the matter is that the world manufacturing structure, which provided the base which a world banking system used to sell debt to the populations in exchange for tangible value, is crumbling at our feet.
One reason for this is because the original intent of the markets, which was to provide capital to feed industrial and commercial growth, was perverted into a system of leveraging against the future potential of businesses to extract rapid capital gains. Again I give you real value purchased with debt.
Nearly all historical tangible value has already been sucked away from the private sector. Current tangible value is being siphoned off at an ever faster pace. Very soon, our banks won't even matter in a commercial growth sense, as they become simple intermediaries in the movement of intangible value between the power brokers and the people. Tangible value shall increasingly be sequestered at the very top of the food chain.
As a public, our actual tangible value, which translates as next week's paychecks, is no longer able to support the needs of the system which our debt has built. As this situation continues to escalate, and it will, government powers shall effectively take total control of all tangible value and shall arbitrarily decide which individual pieces of the system shall survive and which shall ultimately die.
The most recent example of this truth is CPSIA.
(HR4040, I believe).
1-19-2009 @ 12:23AM
carlettamoore said...
LET CITIGROUP BANK GO UNDER JUST LIKE ALL OF THE OTHER BANKS. GO FOR BANKRUPCTY THEN THEY MIGHT STOP AND THINK WHO THEY GIVE OUR MONEY TOO. CARLETTA MOORE