Paying the pension costs of The Big Three

The U.S. government is going to end up supporting some part of the pension plans of The Big Three. No one is saying that out loud, but it is likely nonetheless.

According to The Wall Street Journal, "The government agency that protects pensions for Americans is raising fresh concerns about the repercussions if one or more of the U.S. auto makers were to collapse, saying 1.3 million workers and retirees could see their pensions slashed if that were to happen." General Motors (NYSE: GM) probably will not fail, but Chrysler probably will. Its sales were down over 50% in December. It cannot stand many more months of that.

The pension obligations of Detroit are well above $40 billion.

The government could say "tough luck," but it won't in a deep recession. If the plans failed, those receiving pensions would move from being net consumers to people who might well need government financial assistance to finance their homes and daily living costs. With unemployment moving toward 8%, there are only so many people the government can directly support.

The Big Three pensions will be another example of the government left holding the check.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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