This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.
"My favorite idea for 2009 is a defensive play -- the Consumer Staples SPDR (NYSE: XLP)," says Leonard E. Goodall in his No-Load Portfolios. Here's his review of the exchange-traded fund.
"My recommendation of Consumer Staples SPDR is based on my assumption that the U.S. and world economies will continue to decline through most of 2009, hitting a bottom in the fourth quarter of 2009 or the first quarter of 2010.
"If I thought the economy would recover sooner, I would prefer stocks and funds that are more aggressive in investment strategy.
"XLP provides good investor protection in an uncertain economy. Its major holdings include Colgate, Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, CVS, Walmart, and Procter & Gamble.
"In tough times people will continue to buy toothpaste, medicines, soap, and other necessities. Of course, two of its other large holdings, Altria and Anheuser Busch, recognize they will also continue to drink and smoke!
"With a price/earnings ratio of 14 and a very favorable expense ratio of just .23, this exchange-traded fund provides good value.
"Selling in the low 20s, down from a 52-week high of about 30, this is a good choice for the more conservative and defensive portion of a portfolio."
Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.
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