Coventry Health Care (NYSE: CVH - option chain) stock is falling today after the company forecast 2009 adjusted earnings of $2.00 per share, below analysts' estimates of $2.28 per share. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on CVH.This morning, CVH opened at $10.07. So far today the stock has hit a low of $10.78 and a high of $11.74. As of 12:10, CVH is trading at $11.36, down $0.68 (-5.7%). The chart for CVH looks neutral and S&P gives CVH a 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an April bear-call credit spread above the $15 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.1% return in three months as long as CVH is below $15 at April expiration. Coventry would have to rise by more than 31% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
CVH hasn't been above $15 by more than a few cents since October and shown resistance around $14 recently.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in CVH.
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
1-16-2009 @ 1:55AM
beatuplunchbox said...
As a health agent that writes business for Coventry, I have seen a weakening of new business and older business has remained stable. One note, their benefits ratio to premium price is one of the best in my area and I think that keeps current clients on the books for them.
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