It has not been a good time for me. There is a crisis going on in the Land of Peanut Butter. And if there is one thing I love (besides annual double-digit returns on my stock portfolio), it's peanut butter. You've certainly heard about the concerns regarding some Salmonella-tainted peanut paste. If not, you can check out this piece by Sarah Gilbert. The really bad part is that three deaths are possibly linked to the bacterial infection.
What health officials have advised as of now is to avoid products that use peanut butter as an ingredient. To show how bad this crisis has become, Kellogg (NYSE: K) had to recall some of its products that utilize peanut butter. Naturally, my thoughts eventually turned to Hershey (NYSE: HSY). After all, one of its flagship products is the Reese's Peanut Butter Cup.
Reese's Peanut Butter Cup is one of the best confections known to man, and it is my favorite. Every Halloween I look forward to having an excuse for gorging on the product. So, is the wonderful Reese's brand safe to consume? Just as I thought, Hershey ended up tackling the topic. The company issued a press release on January 17 stating that items from the Reese's portfolio are indeed safe to consume.
There's just one problem: will that be enough? My feeling: it won't be. Hershey has a terrible problem on its hands, in my opinion, because I think the headline risk on this subject has a chance of getting much worse; even if Hershey doesn't have a problem with its peanut-butter candies, all this negative talk about the food won't help.
And as for me, well, even though it is apparently safe, I will not eat the Reese's Peanut Butter Cup until further notice (I also will take the advice of the government and not eat any peanut-butter cookies, bars, etc.). In fact, even though, at the time of this writing (and I stress at the time of this writing, because this story continues to evolve), peanut butter found in jars at supermarket shelves is said to be okay, I am going to be cautious about those products as well. I may end up avoiding them, too.
What does this mean for Hershey shareholders? Not a thing, assuming you are a long-term investor. The company will survive this, no question. Food businesses have been down this road before. In the short-term, though, this is pretty rough.
Hershey has to figure out a way to market the fact that Reese's products are okay as of now (keep up with the story in case new information says otherwise). Plus, Hershey will need to repair whatever injury to brand image the Reese's name has suffered due to this outbreak (as will the peanut industry in general), because you have to believe some people will now avoid the products long after this is over. That will require new advertising campaigns and promotions, and a lot of consumer education. In the short term, I think Hershey's stock could be slightly risky, so I wouldn't necessarily take a position in it now. Again, though, if you are a long-term holder, any weakness could be a buying opportunity (the final decision, though, is always yours to make).
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change without notice.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
1-19-2009 @ 11:54AM
John said...
Hey, I have a great ideal!!! Lets sell them to the Chinese!!