"One of my favor defensive sectors is healthcare," says Elliott Gue; the contributing editor to Personal Finance looks to Quality Systems (NSDQ: QSII), a company that helps automate medical records.
Quantitative analyst Richard Moroney also sees opportunity in the same niche sector. In his Upside newsletter, he looks to a competing play, Cerner (NASDAQ: CERN). Here are their reviews.
"The President made health care a centerpiece of his campaign, including investments in health care-related information technology (IT).
"Health care IT systems can save doctors' offices and hospitals significant administrative costs as well as prevent mistakes. In addition, some major health insurance firms are already putting heavy pressure on their physician networks to adopt these systems."
"Medical offices and hospitals are seeking to automate many functions, from storing patient records online to automatically submitting insurance claims for reimbursement.
"It's estimated that as much as 90% of health care records at smaller medical practices are still maintained in paper form, while even bigger hospitals keep close to half of their records manually.
"Quality Systems, a holding in our growth portfolio, is a leading provider of such systems. It sells software used to manage electronic patient records, billing, scheduling and other common administrative functions for medical and dental practices.
"In the past five years, the company's revenues have soared 28% annually, and according to its most recent quarterly conference call, the credit crunch and economic slowdown have had little impact on demand."
Richard Moroney explains, "The company's core product accesses electronic medical records at the point of care, automating and organizing information for physicians, nurses, and pharmacists.
"Cerner is a leading supplier of health-care technology solutions, is delivering strong growth in an attractive industry. Its core product accesses electronic medical records at the point of care, automating and organizing information for physicians, nurses, and pharmacists.
"Its solutions help mitigate rising health-care costs while improving the quality of care and reducing errors. The credit crunch is taking its toll on technology spending by hospitals and clients and represents a risk for Cerner. But overall spending trends should remain healthy as customers upgrade systems to meet regulatory requirements.
"For 2008, per-share earnings should be about $2.17, implying 24% growth. For 2009, the consensus is $2.55, up 17%. Revenue should increase about 9% both years. Over the next five years, per-share profits are expected to increase at a 21% annualized rate.
"An impressive product lineup suggests expectations for near-term growth are reasonable, especially since more than 70% of revenue comes from recurring services. Cerner is being initiated as a Best Buy."
Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
1-20-2009 @ 5:32PM
John Dupuis said...
Macroeconomic guru Jim Rogers has a message for investors: The United Kingdom is finished.
Bloomberg quotes the bow tie-clad forecaster as saying that he "would urge you to sell any sterling you might have. It's finished. I hate to say it, but I would not put any money in the U.K."
But England isn't the only country Rogers is trashing. Reuters reports that Rogers is accusing the United States of a systematic effort to devalue the dollar by "turning on the printing presses." It's hard to argue with that and he went on to say that "The idea that you can fix a period of excess borrowing and excess consumption by more borrowing and more consumption to me is just ludicrous."
He reiterated his bullishness on China's long-term future even though that market has been hammered of late.
Regardless of whether you buy into his investment theses, it's hard to argue with his logic that borrowing and consumption will not lead out of a nightmare created by borrowing and consumption
2-11-2009 @ 11:31AM
cyndi said...
but did you know there is a plan to ration healthcare through electronic medical records?
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&refer=columnist_mccaughey&sid=aLzfDxfbwhzs
3-13-2009 @ 4:24PM
Stephen Schimpff, MD said...
The future of medicine has some bright spots. One medical megatrend relates to the electronic health record. President Obama is aggressively pushing the electronic health record [EHR]. It will be a major improvement to medical care and to patient safety over time. But there are two major problems that need to be overcome before the EHR will ever be fully functional – interoperability and physician documentation. By interoperability I mean that each of the companies that produce the software do so in a proprietary manner. The result is that they cannot interact. So if a patient is discharged from one hospital today and goes to another hospital’s ER tomorrow, the information from the first hospital will likely not be accessible. This must change and it appears that the federal government is attempting to have standards established for all to follow. That will be a big improvement. There are issues however as to who should set the standards – government or a multidisciplinary working group. Either way, standards are needed.
The second obstacle is that physicians find that most of the current systems actually impede productivity rather than enhance it. This is because the software creators have not spent the time necessary to understand how physician work and are intent on making the document easy to manipulate by the computer. Here is an example. Say a doctor admits a patient with pneumonia. He or she might want to insert the following into the chart: “55 year old nonsmoking male, sudden onset of high fever, shaking chills, productive cough and pain at left lower chest with inspiration. Temp 103, pulse 94, BP 128/74, abnormal breath sounds and dullness to percussion in left lower chest. Chest X-ray shows infiltrate in left lower lobe and sputum exam shows gram positive diplococcic. Diagnosis – pneumococcal pneumonia. Treatment – antibiotic.” Sorry for some “doctor speak” but in essence this is a fairly classical description of a pneumococcal pneumonia. It takes about 30 seconds to say, the same to dictate and perhaps 60 seconds to write or type these words. But to enter it into the chart as per the dictates of the software takes much longer because it requires following a long branching tree of choices. You might liken it to using Word for a document that can be read later versus Excel for a spreadsheet that can be manipulated. Physicians really dislike the extra time it takes and the fact that it is not consistent with the way they “think” about the patient and his or her problem. So they rebel and will not adopt. But this problem, like interoperability, can be overcome.
Once these two issues are resolved, the EHR can become a reality, but not before.
How these issues will play out in growth of health information companies stocks is still be determined.
http://www.medicalmegatrends.com