Seven reasons the market is not going up any time soon: #5 The consumer has stopped spending

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The consumer spending component of the economy was 70% of GDP, but it is shrinking fast and it will not come back to former levels for a long time -- maybe ever.

Unemployment and fear of unemployment are killing spending. I believe we will see double-digit unemployment before we see 5% again.

Another drag on spending is a lack of credit, as credit cards get pulled back, home-equity lines are withdrawn and people realize that buying the next piece of breakable stuff made in China may not be the wisest thing to do with their money right now.

At the end of last year, the U.S. savings rate went up for the first time since 1952, and saving money does not repair economic damage -- right now, it aggravates that damage.

Be sure to read all 7 reasons the stock market isn't going up any time soon.

Michael Shulman is a contributor to OptionsZone.com.

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DJIA+150.2510,058.64
NASDAQ+24.822,150.87
S&P 500+13.781,070.52

Last updated: February 10, 2010: 03:27 AM

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