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Obama Administration's Summers: Economy is worse than we thought

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Despite bracing for the worst, a comprehensive look at the official hard data has provided another dose of the sobering economic reality for the young Obama administration.

The economy "is worse, quite frankly, than everyone thought it was," Lawrence Summers, President Obama's chief economic advisor, said Sunday on NBC's Meet The Press.

"We've got to spend money now while we have a recession, while we've got this serious economic crisis, but as soon as the economy recovers we are going to have to find ways of getting the government's finances under some kind of control," Summers said.

Summers added that the U.S. economy faces "very difficult" months ahead, which underscores the need for U.S. Congressional approval of the Obama administration's $825-850 billion fiscal stimulus package.


The plan is expected to be approved by both the House and Senate, but most likely with modest revisions. Some Republicans have said they want more tax cuts in a revised plan, with House Minority Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio, calling some projects wasteful, Bloomberg News reported Sunday.

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News expect the U.S. Commerce Department to report that the U.S. economy contracted by 5.5% in Q4 when it releases the data Friday. It that occurs, that would be the largest contraction rate in 26 years.

Fiscal Policy / Economic Analysis: Depending on the methodology used, a $825-850 fiscal stimulus package would increase commercial activity by $1-1.5 trillion, and the package can't take place fast enough. Based on current GDP projections, the $14 trillion U.S. economy could fall $1-2 trillion short of its full capacity in 2009 -- forcing-up unemployment to near double-digit levels, and resulting in large declines in corporate revenue and earnings.

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Last updated: November 27, 2009: 08:27 AM

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