Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) reported earnings for Q4 on Monday after the bell, and according to Trey Thoelcke's recap article, the DVD rental company blew past expectations. Wall Street was looking for $0.34 per share on a top line of $354.2 million. Well, Netflix delivered $360 million in net sales and $0.38 per share on the bottom line. That was an increase of 19% and 65% for the top and bottom lines, respectively.
Call me impressed. These are great numbers. In fact, Netflix added a net 718,000 subscribers in Q4. Last year at this time, the company added a net 415,000 subscribers. Now, let's look at the cash flow. According to the earnings release, Netflix is doing fine here, too. Free cash flow for Q4 more than doubled to $51 million. Free cash flow for the year also doubled to more than $94 million.
I've got to give management credit. They're keeping the business running smoothly even in the face of a terrible recession. Netflix obviously is still figuring out how to remain relevant in a media world that is increasingly going digital in terms of distribution paradigms, but for now, consumers continue to enjoy the company's convenient rental model, one that offers strong competition for Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI). And the stock has been strong recently. I was a bit bearish on the company back in October when I took a look at Netflix's Q3 report. I said that I would rather wait until the stock went down before buying. Well, it did go down a few bucks I think at the time, but, after bottoming out at the 52-week low, the stock rose, retested the bottom, and then rose again, all the way to a recent high of $33.57.
I'm going to offer the same perspective after the Q4 numbers: wait for a pullback before entering. I have no idea if the pattern will repeat itself (it's obviously impossible to predict short-term stock movements), but it probably wouldn't hurt to be careful about buying after a run-up when we have all kinds of potentially negative macroeconomic data on the way.
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change without notice.
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