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Cramer on BloggingStocks: We're just entering this morass

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TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says stocks are headed lower, perhaps much lower, even if the banks receive the help they need.

You can see it dawn on people one by one. We aren't coming out of this morass, we are just going into it. The president and Congress aren't serious about it. But more importantly, somehow, the companies are stunned by it.

If you want to read about what it is like to recognize that things are falling apart, go read the Textron (NYSE: TXT) (Cramer's Take) quarter. They actually thought there would be some improvement at year-end. That's not going to happen to a Cessna manufacturer with a commercial finance division of dubious worth. Perhaps there was some hyperbole, but Textron said it was the worst manufacturing time ever!


Black & Decker (NYSE: BDK) (Cramer's Take) was lean to begin with, but that conference call was one of acceptance of a multiyear downturn. So was Caterpillar's (NYSE: CAT) (Cramer's Take) conference call, which was in contrast to pretty much everything they had hoped would happen.

Even Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) (Cramer's Take) got pretty much everything wrong. They had wrong prices, wrong materials costs and wrong demand profile for their goods. To be sure, Colgate (NYSE: CL) (Cramer's Take) whopped 'em. I wonder if even they could disagree with that.

It was just a nasty quarter.

So, we come in and see the futures down big and once again it is dawning on it. We are going lower, perhaps much lower, despite the vicious declines we have seen, even if something "good" happens to the banks, because the earnings estimates are too high and credit has not yet returned to make it so anyone would even think of buying another company.

Random musings: China remains the lone bright spot in the universe. We're asking them to do a lot, but they need to pull us out of here.

Jim Cramer is co-founder and chairman of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. At the time of publication, Cramer was long Black & Decker and Procter & Gamble.

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Last updated: November 09, 2009: 08:05 AM

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